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HomeMy WebLinkAboutMWMC September Agenda Packet THE FULL PACKET IS POSTED ON THE WEBSITE www.mwmcpartners.org MWMC MEETING AGENDA Friday, September 10th, 2021 7:30 AM – 9:30 AM (PDT) Due to the Coronavirus Pandemic and Oregon Executive Order 20-16, the MWMC Meeting will be held remotely via computer or phone. To join the meeting by phone dial: 877 853 5247; Access Code: 844 0964 2820; Passcode: 047757 7:30 – 7:35 I. ROLL CALL 7:35 – 7:40 II. CONSENT CALENDAR a. MWMC 7/9/21 Minutes Action Requested: By motion, approve the Consent Calendar 7:40 – 7:45 III. PUBLIC COMMENT: Public comment can be submitted by email to jbrennan@springfield-or.gov or by phone 541-726-3694 by 5 PM September 9th, 2021 or made at the meeting. All public comments need to include your full name, address, if you are representing yourself or an organization (name of organization), and topic. 7:45 – 8:05 IV. FY2021-22 SUPPLEMENTAL BUDGET #1…………………..….…………Valerie Warner Action Requested: Approve, by motion, Resolution 21-09 8:05 – 8:35 V. FY19-20 GHG EMMISSIONS INVENTORY………………….…………James McClendon Action Requested: Informational and Discussion 8:35 – 9:10 VI. PLANNING PROJECT UPDATES…………………….…………………………Todd Miller Action Requested: Informational and Discussion 9:10 – 9:30 VII. BUSINESS FROM COMMISSION, GENERAL MANAGER, & WASTEWATER DIRECTOR 9:30 VIII. ADJOURNMENT MWMC MEETING MINUTES Friday, July 9, 2021 at 7:30 a.m. The MWMC Meeting was held remotely via computer, phone, and in-person. Meeting was video recorded. Commissioner Yeh opened the meeting at 7:30 a.m. Roll call was taken by Josi Brennan. ROLL CALL Commissioners Present Remotely: Pat Farr, Bill Inge, Walt Meyer, Jennifer Yeh Commissioner Present In-Person: Doug Keeler Commissioners Absent: Joe Pishioneri, Peter Ruffier Staff Present Remotely: Meg Allocco, Katherine Bishop, Dave Breitenstein, Mark Van Eeckhout, Carrie Holmes, Barry Mays, Troy McAllister, James McClendon, Mike McGillivray, April Miller, Todd Miller, Brooke Mossefin, Bryan Robinson, Loralyn Spiro, Matt Stouder, Valerie Warner, and Greg Watkins Staff Present In-Person: Lou Allocco, Josi Brennan, Matt Stouder Legal Counsel Present Remotely: K.C. Huffman (Thorp, Purdy, Jewett, Urness, & Wilkinson, PC) CONSENT CALENDAR a. MWMC 6/11/21 Minutes MOTION: IT WAS MOVED BY COMMISSIONER FARR WITH A SECOND BY COMMISSIONER MEYER TO APPROVE THE CONSENT CALENDAR. THE MOTION PASSED UNANIMOUSLY 5/0, WITH COMMISSIONER PISHIONERI AND COMMISSIONER RUFFIER EXCUSED PUBLIC COMMENT There was no public comment. ADMINISTRATIVE & OPERATIONS BUILDING UPGRADES P80104 UPDATE Mark Van Eeckhout, Civil Engineer, provided an update on the Administrative/Operation Building (P80104) upgrades and requested the approval of Resolution 21-05. This Resolution pertains to a contract with Jacobs Engineering for the beginning phases of the project. July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 2 of 14 The Operations Building was originally constructed in the early 1980s. In 2017 staff constructed plans to expand, renovate, and design the remodel to withstand an earthquake, but not necessarily be an essential facility. The bids came in considerably above the engineers estimate, and the Administrative Operations Building portion of that project was bid as a deductive alternate. With the two bids above the engineers estimates, a decision was made, and direction was given by the Commission to deduct the Administrative & Operations Building work and defer it to a later time. Carollo Engineers carried out a resiliency plan and found the administrative and operations portion of the facility needed to be an essential facility. The building needed to be structurally and mechanically sound after an earthquake, so delaying that portion of the work turned out to be a good thing. A Request for Proposal was put out for consultants to start the process in reviewing the Carollo study, past work done by MWA Architects, and work with plant staff to create three alternatives. After these alternatives are decided on, staff will come back to the Commission for approval to move into design early next winter. The project scope is to improve, update, harden and replace potentially the Administrative and Operations Building. Mr. Van Eeckhout requested the approval to move forward with the planning through a 30% design phase for Jacobs Engineering. As a result of the request for proposal (RFP) staff obtained proposals from MWA Architects, Pivot Architecture and Jacobs Engineering. Jacobs Engineering won as the proposer and was given a Notice of Intent to Award. Once approved by the Commission they will move forward through the 30% design. After three alternatives are selected, staff will present to the Commission a recommendation to move forward with one of the three options, along with choices to move into the design phase. Once factors are decided on, staff will amend the contract and perform and evaluate on whether or not to harden the building in place, move the operations off site for a year and a half or take the building down rebuild it. Schedule  Release of RFP - March 2021  Deadline for submission of Proposals - April 2021  Evaluation and scoring of Proposals - May 2021  Contract Negotiation (Professional Services) - May-June 2021  Commission Approval of MWMC Consultant Contract - July 2021 Planning Schedule  Assume 6 months & update the Commission - Estimate: Jul. 2021 to Feb. 2022 Design Schedule  Assume 10 -12 months - Estimate: Feb. 2022 to Dec. 2022 Bidding & Construction Schedule  Assume 16 months - Estimate: Jan. 2023 to Apr. 2024 MOTION: IT WAS MOVED BY COMMISSIONER MEYER TO ADOPT RESOLUTION 21-06. THE MOTION WAS SECONDED BY COMMISSIONER INGE. THE MOTION PASSED UNANIMOUSLY 5/0, WITH COMMISSIONER PISHIONERI AND COMMISSIONER RUFFIER EXCUSED July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 3 of 14 BIOCYCLE FARM MU3 HARVEST CONTRACTING Todd Miller, Environmental Services Supervisor, updated the Commission on the MU3 harvest. Under the several layers of land use, rules, regulations, and definitions of what agricultural use is, the information firmly indicates staff have up until year 12 to harvest within that agricultural timeframe. Others who grow poplar for longer periods are not falling under those agricultural land use restrictions. The driving needs for harvest this year is rooted in the 12-year agricultural rotation age for the poplar, that was planted 12 years ago. Staff navigated around issues of receiving no bids after the invitation to bid was released and economic barriers from potential logging operations. The wood product industry is at a high demand and loggers are busy. With an overall labor shortage, it is hard to fill those gaps and bring in more people to do the work. The wildfire last year, heavy logging from the local timber base as well as the national lumber demand has put large demand on mills and other logging operations. These situations make bidding very competitive for projects such as the poplar project. The value of poplar wood chips from the wood chip glut is also particularly low. All these factors were a deterrent for the original bidding. Moving into the emergency procurement under procurement rules, staff have the authority to directly negotiate contracts under a declared emergency, in that the poplar needs to be harvested by year 12 and staff received no bids. The no bid condition is part of the reasonable and appropriate competition clause of the rules, which has been met. Staff is negotiating directly with CTS Incorporated and Lane Forest Products to harvest this year, and now have a harvest strategy. Both companies had slightly different approaches on costing, yet their overall costs and proposed markets for pulp logs were similar. Both companies did express potential constraints and concerns about obtaining equipment and labor to do the work. Staff formulated a strategy to split the job into the North and South Unit, using both contractors. This will provide a number of assets and certainty the job will get done this year. If one of the contractors has a disruption to their crew or equipment and the other does not, the harvesting will continue. This particular situation (harvest and market disruptions) has been experienced in the past and impacts harvest even under better economic conditions. The two mills also provide an opportunity for each contractor to sell to either identified market. Lane Forest Products is best suited to complete the final cleanup of grinding slash material and is responsible for the whole site. CTS will clean up their operation, leave the slash piles, and then Lane Forest Products will take that material and grind it for MWMC’s use. Northwest Youth Corps would prune the trees that regrow directly from the stumps. Developing pilot projects to get the boards milled and distributed to local building contractors along with the production of biochar, creates valuable partnerships for future management and marketing. There are a few items to consider regarding the cost being requested. 100 green tons per acre (GT/acre) is an estimated maximum based on other poplar yields and yields harvested in the past. The most productive trees and growth produced were about 100 green tons per acre, and on the low end 50 green tons per acre. Those numbers impact the overall cost, and projecting a high yield ensures staff has enough cost coverage in the contract, allowing for reasonable expectations for the quantity of material sold. Staff expects the final average yield to be around 73 tons per acre, with commensurate billings based on the final yield. July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 4 of 14 Requested contract authorizations based on the maximum acreage of the North and South unit: Table 1: Contract Basis with CTS, Inc. for MU3-North Harvest Contract Item Unit Basis Rate Max. Units Not-to-Exceed Cost Tree felling/processing acre 2,100$ 60 126,000$ Log loading/trucking green ton 24$ 100/acre 144,000$ 270,000$ Pulp log sales (low yield)green ton 26$ 2,750 71,500$ Pulp log sales (hugh yield)green ton 26$ 6,000 156,000$ Total Contract Not-to-Exceed Cost Potential market sales Table 2: Contract Basis with Lane Forest Products for MU3-South Harvest Contract Item Unit Basis Rate Max. Units Not-to-Exceed Cost Tree felling/processing acre 2,500$ 57 142,500$ Log loading/trucking green ton 34$ 100/acre 193,800$ Slash piling/cleanup hour 160$ 450 72,000$ Slash grinding hour 600$ 140 84,000$ Equipment mobilizations hour 145$ 16 2,320$ 494,620$ Pulp log sales (low yield)green ton 32$ 2,600 83,200$ Pulp log sales (hugh yield)green ton 32$ 5,700 182,400$ Total Contract Not-to-Exceed Cost Potential market sales Mr. Miller put together an analysis on historical harvest costs and adjusted the costs based on the inflation rates from 2014 - 2017. Although not exact because the contracts and conditions were different, the ballpark of 2021 harvest costs are on par with costs from the previous harvests. Stump management was a significant part of the cost over the years, but this harvest will not include stump management. Staff plans to leave the stumps in place and not spray them with herbicides, allowing the stumps to grow out. This strategy will save on costs overall. In terms of poplar yield, growing out to year 12 provides more volume and potentially higher revenues. Year 12 is projected to experience the best yields, but the pulp markets are about 40% to 50% of the value of past markets from the economic situation. The marketing strategy with the board mill contract includes many key players. MIG provided assistance as a communications consultant, updated the website, produced infographics, and helped with the outreach in the past years produce. MIG aided the production of the poplar harvest video, to further promote the product. Urban Lumber presented a quote to produce boards for the project. BRING Recycling is interested in reselling the poplar boards, and in turn, will directly connect with local builders, contractors, woodworkers, and designers to help promote the material. This will provide outreach and demonstration collateral for staff to build future markets. There is potential to sell wood to Collins Wood Products located in Portland, OR. In the past, Collins sold poplar wood grown in Boardman, OR and are currently looking for new sources of poplar. 9Wood has an ample supply of poplar from previous Collins harvests, and will not need any off of this harvest, yet it could be a future arrangement. July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 5 of 14 Urban Lumber responded to the quote and became a sole qualified bidder. Other mills expressed interest but were not qualified for that volume or could not produce the drying and other specifications. Boards produced are approximately 1x6, and the planks are live edge planks. BRING has shown interest in purchasing these planks. A mill in Springfield might cut planks for the project, and pending whether a good relationship develops, staff will carry out a small contract with them. The current total cost to produce up to 60 MBF board feet is $99,000 and 40 MBF was the target staff identified for a decent pilot with BRING Recycling. If the product is sold to Collins, another full truckload would be about 20 MBF. Concerning the biochar pilot, staff has been networking and consulting with regional partners for a number of years. Biochar is basically charcoal and has been gaining interest. The goal is finding a better value in the hog fuel material, along with other slash coming off the harvest operations. Modern research reveals properly produced biochar has soil benefits in terms of adding soil carbon, microbial productivity, soil nutrient retention, and the further breakdown and capture of pollutants. Biochar takes carbon and sequesters it in the ground for hundreds if not thousands of years. This is beneficial because it reduces pollutants, enriches soil and acts as a substitute for lime. Lime controls the pH and reduces soil acidity but is an extensive cost for the project. The MWMC would like to partner with Long Tom Watershed Council that owns several kilns, and the Northwest Youth Corps to manage the burns to produce an estimated 100 cubic yards of biochar. The amount is significant enough to share with partners, and pilot the biochar for a cost of $30,000. The MWMC Capital Improvement Program adopted budget includes a fiscal year FY21-22 budget of $600,000 and an FY22-23 budget of $60,000 for Poplar Harvest Management services. An additional unspent FY20-21 budget from postponed harvest activities of approximately $130,000 is planned to be added to the FY21-22 budget via Supplemental Budget 1. The total unspent budget for Poplar Harvest Management Services without additional budget amendments is $790,000. The maximum value of harvest contracts, with a customary 15% amendment authority for additional work may be deemed essential for project delivery, equaling $879,313. The actual costs are projected to be significantly lower, and staff anticipates total contract cost around $650,000. The minimum projected market value of poplar from harvest sales is $154,700, the maximum value is projected to be $338,400. Therefore, the projected net harvest costs to the MWMC are $425,000. The overall CIP is adequately funded to support the full obligations of the contracts. Accounting for up to $130,000 in pilot board and biochar production costs, staff projects the total 2021 harvest and marketing cost just over $700,000. That brings the number within the projected $790,000. Remaining project work to complete the MU3 harvest cycle includes replanting. To save costs on stump management and replanting, staff arranged to keep stumps in place after MU3 harvest and regrow trees from the stumps. This practice was adopted by other poplar growers and requires labor to prune back regrowth to a single lead stem. However, it avoids costs of cutting procurement, planting, and establishment of new trees. Staff is coordinating with the Northwest Youth Corps to provide the tree pruning services to re-establish MU3 in 2022. Therefore, staff projects the entire harvest and replanting of MU3 will be completed within the adopted CIP budget via reapportionment of FY 20-21, 21-22, and 22-23 budgets without need for additional funding. Mr. Miller requested the approval of Resolution 21-07 and 21-08.  Resolution 21-07 to enter into contracts with Lane Forest Products and CTS, Inc. under Emergency Procurement authority for a combined not-to-exceed value of $764,620 with a 15% amendment authority of $114,693 for a total potential value of $879,313. July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 6 of 14  Resolution 21-08 to enter into contract with Urban Lumber under Intermediate Procurement authority for a not-to-exceed value of $99,000 with a 15% amendment authority of $14,850 for a total potential value of $113,850. DISCUSSION: Commissioner Keeler appreciated the hard work in pulling something together with no bids. Regarding the char pilot, is there any air permitting required for that operation? Mr. Miller said yes there is, it could be a complexity. Bryan Robinson is checking on that. The MWMC has partners at ODF and other local agencies that have tried to do biochar. We are determining if biochar will fit under a smaller temporary burn operation and not a large, permitted operation. Commissioner Keeler asked about the reestablishment of trees from existing stumps that has been previously discussed. What is the thinking on why we did not pursue that path in the past, and now we do? Mr. Miller said after evaluating how the City of Woodburn managed their stump regrowth (coppice) staff did not go that route in the beginning. Woodburn harvests around 100 acres of poplar trees and found the coppice growth was very labor intensive. They felt staff time was better spent pulling the stamps and replanting them to start from a clean slate. The decision to proceed now is based on the expense to either grind, pull, or treat stumps. The MWMC has developed a great relationship with Northwest Youth Corps that has reduced the overall cost. When stumps are left in place it is difficult to work around them, especially when tilling up the soil and maintaining weed control. If the stumps are left in place to grow up, we are not trying to establish a new cutting. The stumps will have elevation on the surrounding weeds that allows Youth Corps to maintain weed control effectively without harming the cutting. For MU1, we pulled the stumps or ground them in place, MU2 we cut and treated with herbicide, and MU3 we plan to leave in place. These practices created a portfolio to examine and find the best solution. Commissioner Meyer inquired about the projected harvest sales. Is there money in that sales contract related to selling of the boards that we are milling? Mr. Miller said no, the sales of the boards was not accounted for. If we sell to Collins, a truck load would net the project about $10,000. There is not an agreement worked out with BRING yet, but we have had promising conversations and good faith promises to work with each other. Commissioner Inge asked why are you projecting the harvest cost to be so low? Is this from not removing the stumps or the herbicide, or is there some other factor? Mr. Miller said we are looking at a projected harvest cost of $650,000, with a total contract value of just under a million dollars, is that your question? Commissioner Inge said yes, the harvest cost contract in the presentation is $879,000. Mr. Miller explained the total harvest contract includes a 15% amendment authority that staff is not expecting to have. When projecting the actual costs, 70 GT/acre was used as opposed to 100 GT/acre which impacts log loading and the final trucking cost. To ensure we are covered in the contract, staff established the contract authority saying if the MU3 yields 100 GT/acre we are budgeted for it. Staff is expecting around 70 GT/acre, reducing the projected cost to 70% of that number. Commissioner Inge asked if the confidence level in that predicted cost is high or a little bit on the razor's edge? Mr. Miller said he has fairly high confidence. The variables to consider are what the yield will be, how many acres have productive trees, the trees too small in diameter might not be worthy of pulp logs, and the amount moisture is important. Commissioner Inge said in the event you are off by 15%, we are still at $810,000 versus $790,000 in the budget and within $20,000 of the adjusted budgeted amount. July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 7 of 14 Mr. Miller said that is correct and raises a good point. Based on these projections we do not know how things will settle out, and staff can return to the Commission for a budget transfer if we need more authority to finish out the coppicing. Within the reserve is an estimated $125,000 for coppicing. We are confident in handling all of the harvest costs but might need more in 2022 if overall net harvest costs end up being more than expected. Commissioner Inge asked are you leaving the stump in place to regrow, as opposed to planting a little sprig in the ground? Mr. Miller said that is correct. Staff would be growing back exactly the same tree varietals we have at MU3 right now. The MU1 project provided certain tree varietals that did not do well. When MU3 came around, staff experimented with varietals that did well overall, so we are regrowing those. Commissioner Yeh thanked Mr. Miller for being creative and finding a solution. The partnership opportunity is exciting because it is a great opportunity for more folks in our community to learn about what we are doing through them. Commissioner Meyer said with the cost of harvesting based upon the dollars per acre, what is the basis for payment and how will you decide how many acres are harvested? Mr. Miller said he expects it will be the full acres unless there is clearly an area we cannot harvest, but that survey has not been completed yet. As of now it is 60 acres to the north and 57 acres to the south. There is cleanup that needs to take place that will be rolled into the hours of slash cleanup. MOTION: IT WAS MOVED BY COMMISSIONER MEYER TO ADOPT RESOLUTION 21-07, TO ENTER INTO A CONTRACT WITH LANE FOREST PRODUCTS AND CTS UNDER THE EMERGENCY PROCUREMENT AUTHORITY FOR A TOTAL VALUE OF $879,313.00. THE MOTION WAS SECONDED BY COMMISSIONER KEELER. THE MOTION PASSED UNANIMOUSLY 5/0, WITH COMMISSIONER PISHIONERI AND COMMISSIONER RUFFIER EXCUSED MOTION: IT WAS MOVED BY COMMISSIONER MEYER TO ADOPT RESOLUTION 21-08, TO ENTER INTO A CONTRACT WITH URBAN LUMBER UNDER THE INTERMEDIATE PROCUREMENT AUTHORITY, NOT TO EXCEED THE VALUE OF $113,850.00. THE MOTION WAS SECONDED BY COMMISSIONER KEELER. THE MOTION PASSED UNANIMOUSLY 5/0, WITH COMMISSIONER PISHIONERI AND COMMISSIONER RUFFIER EXCUSED DISCUSSION TO THE MOTION: Commissioner Farr said there is a great deal of curiosity about the Biocycle Farm. It would be valuable to have a few sentences illustrating the actual value of the overall benefit of the farm, and at some point, organize a way to get the word out to the public. Commissioner Inge inquired on how Commissioner Meyer did both these resolutions, and said the potential value is $879,000 as opposed to $764,620 and $99,000 with the 15% amendment. Does that matter? Mr. Millington said the resolution itself is for the full authority requested, which is based upon that maximum amount, 100 versus the 70 units, whatever the units were. The resolution itself is for the maximum amount. Mr. Stouder informed the Commission staff would look into marketing and innovative ideas for the Biocycle Farm. There used to be a sign off Highway 99, but MWMC was not allowed to keep it up due to July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 8 of 14 ODOT rules and had to take it down. Staff can reexplore that avenue, but at the time there were significant permitting requirements. Commissioner Keeler acknowledged Commissioner Inge on being a champion in this idea for many years, as it is a worthwhile thing to promote. Commissioner Inge said there has to be a way to get more information out to the public. Harvesting the products, in this process, in these very creative ways of handling wastewater, and not being able to get that message out is a travesty. Commissioner Farr said there are displays at the airport that a lot of people see. Displaying a sign there is a good idea, perhaps a display made out of the poplar wood. Commissioner Inge suggested using a billboard along highway 99 to advertise the Poplar Farm. Although it would cost money, it is money well spent. Commissioner Keeler suggested to put this topic on the follow-up list. Mr. Stouder said promoting the poplar is a good idea. When it comes to biosolid applications, we need to be careful in how we raise awareness to the actual biosolids applications, versus the sustainability of the poplar and its benefits. Mr. Miller said the communication packet would share the outreach and marketing strategy MIG outlined for us, with the caveat it is on a very low budget. Mr. Stouder said the communications team is working on promotional videos, marketing items, and strategies on this issue to get the public out on tours. CREDIT PROGRAM MANAGER CONTRACT AMENDMENT Todd Miller discussed the Credit Program Manager Contract and Freshwater Trust, which deals with Riparian Shade Credits in the water quality trade credit production. MWMC has existing authority that goes into amendment with the Freshwater Trust and intended to update the Commission on what is being proposed to gather input and direction. The Credit Program Manager Contract started in 2019 and the Freshwater Trust was identified and selected to be MWMC’s credit program manager. This credit program is set to work through the emerging partnership with Pure Water Partners, and for implementation of the credit development program for permit compliance. As a collaborating team, the Freshwater Trust and MWMC is part of Pure Water Partners. Freshwater Trust overseas the development of shade projects with funding from MWMC, and Pure Water Partners is part of that shade project implementation. As a result, the Pure Water Partners with the Freshwater Trust oversight results in documentation of those trading credits, and the Freshwater Trust ensures those are banked in MWMC’s name. Two phases were authorized with two separate resolutions. Phase one pertained to Pure Water Partners and the Water Quality Trading Credit Plan coordination. Before staff launched the developing projects, they researched how the money would be spent, who would be doing what, if there are reimbursements, what is the most efficient way to complete the work, and would the credits produced under Pure Water Partners be valid for the permit. That trading plan is included in the draft but has not been presented to DEQ yet, because the document is under consultation. Phase two of the contract is for the groundwork. Scaling of the program is important because it is essential for Freshwater Trust to know how many kilocalories need to be generated, what the landscape capacity is, what dates to look at for measuring, and how that impacts the cost for supply and demand. The amount of sites available and how many landowners will be recruited are also factors. Under the MWMC permit, staff has not heard from DEQ yet on how they intend to calculate what the thermal load will be. In the next five-year permit, staff will consider pre TMDL conditions and projections based on historical conditions to be around 400 million kilocalories per day in late October. The amount of thermal load impacted is climate and seasonal July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 9 of 14 dependent and depends on the conditions. Shading is variable in scale and based on sun angles, duration of the day, direction of shade being cast, and how wide a river is. The sun duration is longer in the months of April and May and moves directly overhead on the solstice in June. Staff aimed to meet half the projected peak shade or thermal load mitigation value of 400 million kilocalories per day, with the credit production of 200 million kilocalories per day. The MWMC doubled the amount of shade production, which ended up at 400 million kilocalories of actual shade on the ground. As a safety factor, 10% was added for sites that were not recruited to ensure compliance was met. The MWMC maintains pilot projects that preceded the current pilot projects under this contract. Three sponsorship pilot projects were previously implemented and ended up on the Mill Race and Cedar Creek. Those projects are implemented and ongoing for a 20-year life cycle with the Freshwater Trust contract for a total investment of $650,000. DISCUSSION: Commissioner Meyer said when the projected thermal load mitigation need is 400 million kilocalories, that is the amount of kilocalories we will need to have certified. It is important to talk in context of that number so when anybody does a project for us to provide shading, the certified amount reflects the two to one ratio. When we need 400 million kilocalories of mitigation, we need to buy 400 million kilo calories of mitigation. The shading associated with that is going to be twice as much, but when the certification is completed it will recognize that trading ratio. We need to buy a certification for 400 million kilocalories. In terms of presentation, that trading ratio should be behind the scenes because we need to buy 400 million kilocalories of offsets. The same things pertain to the next slide as there may be 20 million kilocalories of calculated shade, but the actual credit available from that is half or 10 million kilocalories. This makes it easier for us in the long term, to talk in terms of actual mitigation needed and actual certified credits received. Has Willamette Partners completed that certification for the projects we purchased on the two pilots? Mr. Miller said yes, the sponsorship pilots is accredited. Commissioner Meyer asked if our name shows up on that registry. Mr. Miller said yes it does. Commissioner Meyer asked if there is any reason to believe DEQ, when issuing the next permit, would not allow us to show those on our permit as offsets? Mr. Miller said there is no reason to believe DEQ would not, based on conversations with DEQ staff. The MWMC is aware of potential challenges, and it is not 100% certain yet. Commissioner Meyer said that is true, but the Northwest Environmental Advocates challenged Medford’s credits when they submitted their plan, but ultimately DEQ went ahead with what was certified in the Willamette Partnership certification. Mr. Miller said we certainly hope for that, and thanked Commission Meyer for bringing that up. The accreditation we get from the Willamette Partnership is based on shade production, and the credit value we get is translated based on our water quality training plan agreement with DEQ. The MWMC does not have an exact number of how those credits translate yet. Two to one is a very fair and expected ratio, however, we are going to be seeking a better ratio with the DEQ, which is part of the Water Quality Trading Permit negotiation. DEQ has verbally shown support in providing better ratios for projects that give complimentary environmental benefits, and most projects expected to be put in the Pure Water Partners zone will be complementing environmental restoration projects. Shooting for roughly half of the projected mitigation need, was a decision made by staff to be conservative in the amount of shade credits we invested in. It is unknown what DEQ will prescribe in our permit, what is required in the compliance scheduled, and how recycled water and other complimentary thermal load mitigation options may be beneficial. Commissioner Meyer asked if the calculation of the required thermal load mitigation is based upon actual flows or design flows? Mr. Miller said it is based on actual river flows over the last 10 years. July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 10 of 14 Commissioner Meyer asked if it includes any offsets related to the recycled water. Mr. Miller said no, it does not. Mr. Miller returned to his presentation and explained the Pure Water Partners Pilot. Last year the MWMC authorized Freshwater Trust to start implementing projects in the McKenzie and Pure Water Partners area, while not launching the full program. MWMC provided money for their startup to get needed information out of piloting. This collaboration turned out to be successful and the team found sites that were highly productive and efficient. Freshwater Trust planted three acres and expected it to consume all funds for the ground prep, lease payments, lease with the landowner, and establishment of the trees. Freshwater Trust has spent around $150,000 on this project so far, producing about 30 million kilocalories of shade uplift. This translates to around 15 million kilocalories per day, per credit, on a two to one ratio. In regard to the second Pilot Project, Freshwater Trust found two sites that are ready to move forward with MWMC. This project did have more area to plant but was curtailed to an acre with two additional acres of land to plant. It was recommended to proceed and amend the contracts, providing additional funding available under the current authority. This would extend the two acres and get projects on the ground this fall, and ready for accreditation next spring. It is predicted all pilot project seed money will run out in the Spring of 2022. Staff expects to launch the full credit program with a new permit and compliance schedule firmly in place by this fall and be able to fully fund the projects then. Pilot Site #2 is located at White Water Ranch on the McKenzie River and was heavily impacted by the Holiday Farm Fire. Many standing trees are at risk of falling over immediately or in the near term. This gave the Freshwater Trust an opportunity to start replanting aggressively with natives before invasive species started to take over. Waiting another year, the land would have been overgrown with weeds. There was no land clearing permit process with Lane County, which saved time and costs. The contract status for Resolution 19-03 is for authorization of phase one work, and Resolution 20-03 is for the beginning of phase two on groundwork. Under those existing authorities, staff does not need additional approvals from the Commission. The MWMC has remaining unspent authority of approximately $32,000 for phase one work and $136,000 available for Task 2A. Freshwater Trust, under both of those existing authorities can provide additional water quality trading plan support for staff. Even though Freshwater Trust has provided the MWMC with a draft Water Quality Trading Plan, it has not been fully vetted out with DEQ for final approval. Staff expects to complete this when the permit is finalized in the fall. The Freshwater Trust has completed multiple analyses on shade-credit production potential, site recruitment potential, and cost projections for the MWMC’s program. They also scoped out that 200 Mkcal/day credit cost about $9 million. Recommendation  Amend Phase 1 scope and budget for up to $32,022.67 for assistance and support on the MWMC’s final Water Quality Trading Plan.  Amend Phase 2 scope and budget for up to $135,898.46 to expand Pure Water Partners pilot project site #2 by up to 2 acres.  Defer program to rescale/recost an effort (reduced shad credit production program cost) until final permit limits and compliance schedule are known.  Defer scoping/costing of in-stream restoration credit project potential as part of compliance schedule tasks during full Phase 2 implementation. July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 11 of 14 Mr. Miller informed the Commissioners that staff is moving forward with these plans but wanted them to have an opportunity to share input and direction. DISCUSSION: Commissioner Meyer asked if the $9 million is a loaded cost, that includes maintenance and lease costs? Mr. Miller said yes, it is the full 20-year cost of the program and actually 20 plus years. Commissioner Meyer said that is a good deal compared to the Recycled Water Project cost. Mr. Miller said it is more expensive than what we were looking at a few years ago, but still looking good compared to recycle water. It is projected once we get recycled water up and running, the cost of expanding that program might become competitive with riparian shade. Staff is proposing with DEQ our compliance schedule and the ability to further analyze and evaluate before we embark on a particular strategy beyond year 5. NPDES PERMIT UPDATE Bryan Robinson, Environmental Management Analyst, updated the Commission on the permit development schedule, completed milestones, plan updates, expected completion timelines, pending issues and final steps. The DEQ permit development schedule previously shared with the Commission has not changed, however, it could change in the future. Communications began in April with the MWMC team leads Michelle Miranda and Todd Miller and assigned DEQ permit writers of Jeff Navarro and Geoff Rabinowitz. In May, the initial kickoff meeting was held and preceded by a series of emails clarifying permitting topics of permit prep timelines, permit renewal application update, RPA reviews, temperature compliance schedules, pretreatment ordinances, local limits, recycled water, updated plan needs, and sampling data submittals. In June, discussions took place between DEQ and MWMC that included the DEQ draft RPAs for ammonia, chlorine, and pH and toxics. Staff used outside consultant assistance to review the DEQ drafts that positioned MWMC for negotiations to help understand agency reasoning in data use and analysis. This information potentially could affect the permit requirements. Critical communications between DEQ and MWMC have taken place for several months and will continue. On July 19th, the MWMC expects to have an applicant draft review for the required two-week, review period. This review is simultaneous with EPA draft review and could potentially change the permit date. On June 24th, the MWMC requested DEQ give the MWMC a three-week applicant review, which is allowed under the OAR. This makes the MWMC applicant draft review tentatively from July 19th through August 6th. Since this is the first renewal in 20 years, staff wanted adequate time for review and correspondence between team members, leadership, technical experts, and legal counsel. Todd Miller clarified staff is waiting to confirm DEQ is still on that schedule. DEQ implied July 19th would be the earliest, and sometime that week the MWMC would probably see the applicant review. Mr. Robinson stated the schedule does not include a public hearing. If a public hearing is made, a month could be added to the timeline. Once staff identified MWMC was on the permit issuance plan for the fourth quarter of 2021, systematic steps were made to dissect the permit template schedule requirements and associated internal management directives. The follow up to DEQ’s request for gap analysis of toxics monitoring data, and the sharing of their RPA results gave staff good indicators, but there are still conversations to be had. Consultant assistance was requested under the new Facilities Planning Engineering Services contract, July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 12 of 14 because time to adequately investigate the DEQ draft RPA’s and complete RPA analysis for MWMC was not realistic. The RPA parameters investigated are ammonia, cyanide, zinc, and four pesticides. The DEQ permit requirements are still being determined. On June 30th, updated versions of the Biosolids Management Plan and Class D Recycled Water Plan were submitted to DEQ. The Emergency Response Management Plan and Ground Water Management Plan is due within six months after the permit is issued, using consultant assistance as needed. Mercury Minimization Plan development is in progress, and DEQ is formalizing a template to help staff meet the requirement. Staff has two full years to complete the Mercury Minimization Plan. Pending issues prior to applicant review draft  Permit timeline confirmation  Applicants review period extension  RPA data verification  Final ammonia/toxics and temperature RPA’s  Temperature compliance schedule Final Steps  Continued MWMC team lead communication with DEQ  Scheduling of draft applicant review  Local Limits/Model Ordinance adoption after permit re-issuance  Completion of required plans and plan updates DISCUSSION: Commissioner Keeler asked if there are any other major NPDES permits issued recently by DEQ? If so, what is the reaction as part of the public involvement for media, members of the public, and activist groups? Is the communications group positioning itself to respond to any reaction we might get around September? Mr. Robinson said there are a few unknowns with that. Staff expects if there is input from the public, our communications team would be made aware immediately. Mr. Miller said so far, today, we are not aware of any kind of outside scrutiny but are cautious of a few elements. The Recycled Water Use Plan for our existing Class D Program and the updated Biosolids Management Plan, are both for practices we currently have in place. These plans are not new, only updates. Both are due for public review and renewal, which is why DEQ wants them now to approve and get out with the permit. For certain members of the public, this might seem new or something that might invite comment, particularly ones more recently alerted to biosolids. The positioning of MWMC to be a proactive protector of the Willamette River and taking compliance environmental stewardship beyond that, compliments anything we might have in terms of interfacing with the public. Mr. Stouder added the DEQ recently put the City of Gresham’s permit out for public comment and MWMC staff is tracking that. Commissioner Keeler said it sounds like we might be early in the queue of this push by DEQ to begin reissuing permits, is that true? Mr. Miller said we are not at the cutting edge. There has been a number of permits rolling out for the past year now, including large permits. We are the second or third significant Willamette Valley discharger, which might add some clout to the MWMC permit to get scrutiny. Staff is not aware of any specific scrutiny in the permit but is aware of third-party organizations that have an open channel to DEQ. Commissioner Keeler thought we have a very good story to tell and need to be confident that we are ready to tell it. Commissioner Farr stated to be able to say we are proactive protectors of the Willamette River is a powerful statement, everything this agency does is protecting the Willamette River and other watersheds. Regarding the scrutiny of the permit, if the permit process was scrutinized it would be positive for the proactive protection of the Willamette River. Any public process we can engage in should shine a very positive light on the work being done by the MWMC. Regarding the length of the process for a public hearing, does that add one month to the process? Mr. Miller said yes, that is July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 13 of 14 approximately correct. A 30-day public review process is built into the schedule, and during that time if a certain criterion is met there can be a public hearing requested and held. Commissioner Farr said we are demonstrating to the public proactive protection of the Willamette River and more people can have confidence in that. This process can be a demonstration to people who might not understand we are protectors of the river, not polluters of the river. The addition of 30 days could be beneficial to people understanding in greater detail how far this Commission goes to protect the water. Mr. Miller said a complement to the protection of the Willamette River, is we are also protectors of the public finances. Much of the negotiations done with DEQ on the permit is not pushing back on permit limits or water quality, it is unnecessary spending on the use of funds and resources. Brian Millington said another aspect is, the MWMC is currently treating wastewater and discharging it in accordance with an expired permit. That expired permit has prevented the Commission from moving forward with some projects that benefit the river and operations. Part of the messaging can include this is not something new being introduced to the river. The reassurance of this permit makes it up to date so programs and Capital improvements can be caught up to where they should have been, if we had a permit reissued when the MWMC first applied for one. MWMC PARTNERSHIP VIDEO April Miller and Mike McGillivray, Communications Coordinators for the City of Springfield shared the MWMC partnership video and explained the background of the product. The creation of the Partnership Video was identified as a potential communications tactic during the Strategic Communications Planning Phase 2, in 2019 and 2020. With the Commission expressing support for the tactic, it was incorporated into the 2021 MWMC Communications Plan. The video focuses on the importance of clean water and how the community is connected to water. The video touches on the MWMC successes, why the MWMC continues to be a strong partnership, and the overarching purpose of the MWMC. The intent of this video is to support Key Outcome #5: achieving and maintaining public awareness and understanding of the MWMC, Regional Wastewater System and MWMC’s objectives of maintaining water quality. This will be a flagship video for years to come. The video produced is based on the Communications Plan and input from staff members, as well as the Commission during the Planning Phase 2. Staff made a list of key messages and identified 15 community leaders to interview, which created different perspectives on the importance of clean water. This ranged from government leaders, drinking water utilities, environmental groups, businesses, and agricultural communities. The interviewees included three elected Commissioners, and several staff members. After conducting those interviews, staff selected quotes to best support key messaging and put together a draft script. Mr. McGillivray served as the videographer and editor and shot over multiple days in multiple locations to obtain the proper footage. Staff made a list of graphics and selected music for the video, and Mr. McGillivray edited it Adobe Premiere Pro. This was a team effort with help from Loralyn Spiro and Brooke Mossefin, as well as other staff members. Mr. McGillivray explained the Partnership Video is still in draft, but close to finalization. After the nine- minute video played, Ms. Miller and Mr. McGillivray said they are planning to incorporate additional shots into the video and make final adjustments based on feedback from Commissioners and staff. Once the video is finalized it will be shared with Commissioners, staff, community partners, City of Springfield, City of Eugene, and Lane County and distributed digitally through the MWMC YouTube channel, website, social media accounts, Water Wisdoms Newsletter, and other channels as available. July 9, 2021 MWMC Minutes Page 14 of 14 DISCUSSION: Commissioner Inge thanked Ms. Miller, Mr. McGillivray and the team for a great presentation and thought it was a terrific representation of the MWMC, and the partnerships that exist. Commissioner Yeh said it was nice to see Mr. Stouder and Mr. Breitenstein on the video and thought they both did an awesome job of representing the MWMC. The historic photos were also great to see. Mr. Stouder said he was proud of how the video turned out, and it will be distributed to the Commission for feedback. Ms. Miller, Mr. McGillivray, and the rest of the communications team did an excellent job. This is a great resource for the MWMC moving forward and a good demonstration of our partnership. BUSINESS FROM THE GENERAL MANAGER Matt Stouder said Oregon has become the second state to require “Do not Flush” labeling on disposable wipes, through House Bill 2344. This bill was signed into law in June and becomes effective in July. Wipes marketed as flushable wipes in the past, will now be labeled as non-flushable. The MWMC submitted multiple comments and public testimony in support of this bill. The ACWA conference is virtual this year. The conference is a one day, five-hour event on July 28th and includes Congressmen De Fazio, individuals from EPA and many others. If Commissioners are interested in attending, staff can help get them signed up. David Breitenstein and Matt Stouder are presenting to the Twin Rivers Rotary in August on MWMC. That presentation is in response to a meeting with a member of Springfield utility board, who showed interest in learning more about WMMC. The MWMC meeting today was longer than normal. In August there will be a recess and staff plan to reconvene in September. Commissioners will be given a communication packet update with specific items in August. The plan for September is to be back in the Library meeting room for an in-person meeting, provided everything continues to move in the right direction. Ideally, the majority of folks will be in the Library Meeting room with only a few people on Zoom. BUSINESS FROM THE WASTEWATER DIRECTOR Dave Breitenstein shared information on the chlorine supply issue. Since the problem occurred staff received three orders, all being full volume and on schedule. With another order scheduled for next Wednesday, there is currently a 25-day supply on hand. Other utility companies have shared the supply issue is not affecting them because they generated their own chlorine. When the facilities plan was evaluated, staff looked into generating chlorine on site with a base chemical and UV light disinfection. The UV light disinfection proved to be costly and made Capital costs $16 million versus $4 million. For staff to generate their own chlorine, the cost would be around $2.5 million dollars more, and that only treats the annual average flow. The plant currently contains a wide range of flows that range from 9 million to 230 million gallons a day in the Winter. At the time the Facilities Plan is updated, staff will look into technologies available and associated costs. Commissioner Yeh adjourned the meeting at 9:45 am M E M O R A N D U M DATE: September 2, 2021 TO: Metropolitan Wastewater Management Commission (MWMC) FROM: Valerie Warner, MWMC Accountant SUBJECT: FY 2021-22 Supplemental Budget #1 ACTION REQUESTED: Approve Resolution 21-09 ISSUE The purpose of this memo is to request approval of Resolution 21-09 authorizing proposed supplemental budget requests for FY 2021-22. This is the first of three supplemental budgets processed each year to adjust for corrections and new information. DISCUSSION Fiscal year 2021-22 wastewater rates and budget amounts were based upon estimates derived from FY 2020-21 estimated expenditures, inflationary factors, projected debt and other considerations identified during the FY 2021-22 budget development process. Actual amounts often differ from estimates used during the budget process, principally because the budget development process takes place mid-year. Consequently, estimates for the future year are based on approximately six months actual experience. As a result, certain adjustments are necessary at the beginning of a new fiscal year in order to reconcile actual prior year ending balances with budgeted beginning balances for the subsequent year. Staff now has final capital project costs and ending cash amounts for FY 2020-21. When ending cash is more than estimated, we record an increase to the subsequent year beginning cash. This amount must be offset with a corresponding increase to the appropriate subsequent year reserves unless some of the additional funds are requested to be carried over or used to fund new spending requests. In the event that ending cash is less than estimated, we record a decrease to the subsequent year beginning cash. This amount must be offset with a corresponding decrease to either a reserve or an expenditure line in the subsequent year. Staff is requesting that a portion of the additional capital cash carryover from FY 2020-21 be allocated among carryover requests for existing projects with a portion funding new capital requests and the remaining amount recorded as additions to reserves. AGENDA ITEM IV Memo: FY 2021-22 Supplemental Budget #1 September 2, 2021 Page 2 of 4 For the operating fund, staff is requesting that a portion of the additional operating cash carryover be allocated to the operating reserve, with a portion funding carryover for Eugene Capital Outlay and a portion funding the Small Home subsidy. Operating Fund:  The Commission is requested to approve an increase to the Operating Fund Beginning Cash of $2,452,034. This transfer will align the FY 2021-22 Budgeted Beginning Cash balance with the actual cash balance at June 30, 2021.  The Commission is requested to approve the carryover of $51,008 in Environmental Services for Small Home SDCs. This request represents the unspent amount of the original $100,000 appropriation.  The Commission is requested to approve the carryover of $70,000 in Eugene Capital Outlay for Fall Prevention at the Pretreatment Facility, a project that was not started in FY 2021.  The Commission is requested to approve an increase to the Operating Reserve of $2,331,026. Capital Funds:  The Commission is requested to approve an increase to Beginning Cash of $6,284,824. This action will align the FY 2021-22 Beginning Cash balance with the actual cash balance at June 30, 2021.  The Commission is requested to approve a carryover of $2,766,723 from FY 2020-21 Capital Projects funding, which will result in a net increase to the FY 2021-22 capital budget. These carryover items include: Description Proposed Carryforward Class A Disinfection Facilities 874,162$ Aeration Basin Improvements 846,691 Administration Building Improvements 352,063 Glenwood Pump Station 248,574 Resiliency Follow-up 205,908 Poplar Harvesting 128,267 Facilities Plan Engineering Services 80,892 Riparian Shade Credit Program 70,102 Comprehensive Facility Plan Update 38,558 Recycled Water Demonstration 25,242 Biogas/Renewable Energy (RNG)(103,737) 2,766,723$ Memo: FY 2021-22 Supplemental Budget #1 September 2, 2021 Page 3 of 4  Additional capital project funding of $250,000 is being requested at this time for the Biogas/Renewable Energy (RNG) Project.  The Commission is requested to approve a carryover of $1,385,700 from FY 2020-21 Equipment Replacement funding, which will result in a net increase to the FY 2021-22 Equipment Replacement budget. This carryover includes the following items:  The Commission is requested to approve a carryover of $254,300 from FY 2020-21 Major Rehab funding, which will result in an increase in the FY 2021-22 Major Rehab budget. This carryover includes the following items:  The Commission is requested to approve a carryover of $370,000 from FY 2020-21 Major Capital Outlay funding, which will result in an increase in the FY 2021-22 Major Capital Outlay budget. This carryover includes the following items: No new funding is being requested at this time for any Equipment Replacement, Major Rehab or Major Capital Outlay work planned for FY2021-22. Description Proposed Carryforward Programable Logic Ctlrs (PLC) Upgrades, BMF 1,017,000$ Automatic Transfer Switch (ATS), Irvington PS 125,500 Biosolids Spreaders (x3) 90,000 Centrifugal Blowers, Final 70,000 Irrigation Well Pump, BRS 48,200 Polymer Feeder, BDF/BMF 20,000 Computer File Servers (cesrv300, 301), Plant 15,000 1,385,700$ Description Proposed Carryforward Roadways Resurfacing, BMF 170,000$ Asphalt Maintenance (not Bike Path) 25,000 Screw Pumps Wet Well Concrete Rehab 59,300 254,300$ Description Proposed Carryforward Laboratory LIMS Software 370,000$ Memo: FY 2021-22 Supplemental Budget #1 September 2, 2021 Page 4 of 4 The Commission is requested to approve adjustments to the ending capital reserves as follows: Taken together, individual actions requested above accomplish the following objectives:  Modification of FY 2021-22 beginning cash balances to reflect actual FY 2020-21 operating results in compliance with State Budget Law.  Carryover of funds into the current fiscal year associated with specific capital projects and operations items that were budgeted in FY 2020-21, but will actually be expended in FY 2021- 22.  Funding for additional capital items.  Establishment of reserves as appropriate to balance increases and decreases in the FY 2021- 22 operating and capital budgets. ACTION REQUESTED Approve, by motion, Resolution 21-09 authorizing the budget actions requested in this memorandum. ATTACHMENT 1. Resolution 21-09 2. Attachment A – summary of changes Capital Reserve 119,526$ Equipment Replacement Reserve (149,393) SDC Improvement Reserve 63,295 SDC Reimbursement Reserve 1,224,673 1,258,101$ Page 1 of 2 METROPOLITAN WASTEWATER MANAGEMENT COMMISSION RESOLUTION 21-09 ) IN THE MATTER OF APPROVAL OF ) FISCAL YEAR 2021-22 SUPPLEMENTAL ) BUDGET #1 WHEREAS, the Metropolitan Wastewater Management Commission (MWMC) approved the FY 2021-22 Budget on April 9, 2021 pursuant to Resolution 21-03; WHEREAS, sewer rates and budget amounts for the FY 2021-22 budget were based upon certain estimates; WHEREAS, additional information from actual experience regarding the FY 2020-21 budget is now available and actual prior fiscal year ending balances can be reconciled with the beginning budgeted balances for the FY 2021-22 Budget; WHEREAS, an increase in the budget for Beginning Cash for Operations, in the amount of $2,452,034, will align the FY 2021-22 Budget for Beginning Cash with the actual cash balance as of June 30, 2021; WHEREAS, the carryover of $51,008 to Springfield Operations from unexpended FY2020-21 operations funding is appropriate because that amount remains unspent from the original appropriation to fund small home SDC costs; WHEREAS, the carryover of $70,000 to Springfield Operations from unexpended FY2020-21 operations funding is appropriate because that amount remains unspent from the original appropriation to fund Eugene Capital Outlay costs; WHEREAS, an increase to the Operating Reserve of $2,331,026 is appropriate as the net of increased Beginning Cash, carryovers and new funding requests; WHEREAS, the increase of $6,284,824 to Beginning Cash for Capital, will align the FY 2021-22 Budget for Beginning Cash with the actual cash balance as of June 30, 2021; WHEREAS, the carryover of $2,766,723 from FY 2020-21 Capital Project funding is appropriate because capital projects are fully budgeted in the year the contracts are awarded even though capital projects often span more than the fiscal year in which the contract is awarded and certain projects are ongoing; WHEREAS, an increase to Capital Project funding in the amount of $250,000 is appropriate to establish the budget for the Biogas/Renewable Energy (RNG) project for FY2021-22; Attachment 1 - Resolution 21-09 METROPOLITAIN WASTEWATER MANAGEMENT COMMISSION Resolution 21-09 Page 2 of 2 WHEREAS, the carryover of capital outlay $370,000, major rehabilitation $254,300, and equipment replacement $1,385,700 funding is appropriate because items that were budgeted for FY 2020-21 will not be incurred until FY 2021-22; WHEREAS, an increase to the Capital Reserve of $119,526 is appropriate as the net of increased Beginning Cash, carryovers and new funding requests; WHEREAS, a decrease to the Equipment Replacement Reserve of $149,393 is appropriate as the net of increased Beginning Cash and carryover requests; WHEREAS, an increase to the SDC Reimbursement Reserve of $1,224,673 is appropriate as a portion of increased Beginning Cash; WHEREAS, an increase to the SDC Improvement Reserve of $63,295 is appropriate as a portion of increased Beginning Cash; NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE METROPOLITAN WASTEWATER MANAGEMENT COMMISSION: The FY 2021-22 Supplemental Budget #1 as presented to the MWMC on September 10, 2021, is hereby approved. ADOPTED BY THE GOVERNING BODY OF THE METROPOLITAN WASTEWATER MANAGEMENT COMMISSION ACTING IN ITS CAPACITY AS LOCAL PUBLIC CONTRACT REVIEW AUTHORITY ON THE 10TH DAY OF SEPTEMBER 2021. _____________________________________________ Jennifer Yeh, MWMC President Approved as to form: _______________________________ KC Huffman, MWMC Legal Counsel Attest: ____________________________________________ Josi Brennan, MWMC Secretary Digital Signature: Digital Signature: Digital Signature: Attachment 1 - Resolution 21-09 Attachment A – Summary of Changes FY 2021-22 MWMC - Supplemental Budget #1 Summary CAPITAL OPERATING TOTAL BEG CASH ADJUSTMENT 6,284,824$ 2,452,034$ 8,736,858$ REQUESTED CARRYFORWARDS (4,776,723) (121,008) (4,897,731) NEW SPENDING REQUESTS (250,000) (250,000) - - - NET CHANGE TO RESERVES 1,258,101$ 2,331,026$ 3,589,127$ Capital Reserve 119,526$ Equipment Replacement Reserve (149,393) SDC Improvement Reserve 63,295 SDC Reimbursement Reserve 1,224,673 1,258,101$ Attachment 2 - Summary of Changes M E M O R A N D U M DATE: September 2, 2021 TO: Metropolitan Wastewater Management Commission (MWMC) FROM: James McClendon, Acting Finance and Administrative Manager SUBJECT: MWMC Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report for FY 2019-20 ACTION REQUESTED: Informational and Discussion ISSUE In August 2021, staff completed an MWMC FY 2019-20 Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventory Report, attached to this memo (Attachment 1). The inventory included data gathering and analysis of the emissions from activity at MWMC owned facilities and pump stations. This report documents the FY 2019-20 inventory results. BACKGROUND Previous GHG inventories were conducted on MWMC facilities for calendar years 2010, 2012, 2014, and for fiscal years FY 2015-16 and FY 2017-18. After the 2014 report, the inventory timeline was switched to fiscal years to align with the City of Eugene’s operational GHG inventory, which most recently is the FY 2019 report that was shared publicly in December 2020. One significant change worth noting for the FY 2019-20 GHG emissions report is that the data for electricity usage (Scope 2 emissions) were calculated using the market-based emissions factor and not the location-based emissions factor, which had been used for calculating the emissions from purchased electricity in all prior inventories. Oregon DEQ had recommended using the location-based factor up until 2018 and has since promoted the use of the market-based factor for GHG emissions from purchased electricity. As a result, the emissions figures shown for electricity usage, indicated in Metric Tons CO2 equivalent (MTCO2 e) will appear to be much lower than in prior reports. For comparisons between FY 2019-20 and prior reporting year emissions, the data have had the market- based emissions factor applied retroactively back to the first MWMC emissions inventory conducted in 2010. In general, the purpose of conducting the biennial GHG inventory and producing the report is to assist the MWMC with:  Sustaining the commitment to “achieve and maintain high environmental standards” (Key Outcome #1 in the MWMC budget document)  Referencing to a vetted longitudinal study on GHG emissions from which to assess operational and environmental performance AGENDA ITEM V Memo: MWMC Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report for FY 2019-20 September 2, 2021 Page 2 of 2  Addressing potential future regulatory reporting requirements  Continuing to identify opportunities to reduce GHG emissions  Inviting discussion on incorporating GHG emissions reduction strategies into future project planning As a partner of the Community Climate Action Plan (CAP), the MWMC provided information to the City of Eugene in 2018 about innovative projects that would align with the goals and intent of Eugene’s CAP, now referred to as the CAP 2.0. Made public in summer 2020, Action B16 in Eugene’s CAP 2.0 refers specifically to the Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) system at the treatment plant which will become operational this fall. Ongoing resiliency planning and associated project work is also indirectly referred to as a region-wide effort in the CAP 2.0 document. Furthermore, the GHG emissions inventory report on MWMC facilities provides ancillary support on specific GHG emissions when reporting to Lane Regional Air Protection Authority (LRAPA) in accordance with the Eugene/Springfield (MWMC) Water Pollution Control Facility Air Contaminant Discharge Permit. DISCUSSION The FY 2019-20 GHG Inventory Report on MWMC facilities provides the following:  Comparisons of current emissions to the emissions reported in previous inventory years  The offset of GHG emissions (benefits) from displaced grid electricity, carbon sequestration by poplar trees, and other MWMC activities  Recent and upcoming community involvement in GHG emissions reduction action items  An appendix including detailed explanations on the data gathering and methodology used in this GHG inventory report The grand total FY 2019-20 GHG emissions from anthropogenic activity at MWMC facilities (10,676 MT CO2e) were approximately 21.7% lower than the FY 2017-18 emissions (13,640 MT CO2e). Listed below is a brief summary of the results from the FY 2019-20 inventory:  The largest overall source of GHG emissions in all reporting years is from the purchase of goods and services for operating and capital construction projects, which is categorized as indirect emissions (Scope 3). Total Scope 3 emissions decreased a total of 43.3% Year over Year (YoY), which included a decrease in capital and operating construction supply chain emissions (-68.5% and -10.8% respectively) but an increase from solid waste disposal (+17.4% YoY)  The greatest benefit from MWMC activity specific to GHG emissions reduction was from carbon sequestration due to the growth in biomass of poplar trees at the Biocycle Farm (-6,005 MT CO2e YoY, from a cumulative total sequestration of -23,979 MT CO2e since 2004). The next GHG emissions inventory is scheduled to be completed in the summer of 2023 and will be conducted for the FY 2021-22 timeframe. ACTION REQUESTED Informational only – no action requested. ATTACHMENTS Attachment 1 – Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report for FY 2019-20 Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report for FY 2019-20 August 2021 Attachment 1 - Greenhouse Gas Inventory Report for FY2019-20 FY 2019-20 GHG Emissions Report | Page 1 Introduction This report presents the results of an inventory conducted to quantify the Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions for FY 2019-20 from the regional wastewater treatment plant, Biosolids Management Facility (BMF), and regional pump stations serving the Eugene-Springfield Metro Area in Lane County, Oregon — facilities that are operated and managed through partnership in the MWMC (Metropolitan Wastewater Management Commission). The inventory also includes emissions data for wastewater pump stations that are owned independently by the cities of Eugene and Springfield. The data gathering and analytical framework applied by staff to produce this report quantifies the GHG emissions resulting from MWMC activities in FY 2019-20 that contribute to increasing global CO2 levels. The framework also quantified the MWMC activities that are beneficial to our environment—those which reduce, sequester, or offset GHG emissions. Page 4 of the report outlines MWMC’s contribution of information towards community action planning for local and regional GHG emissions reduction. The Appendix to the report describes the GHG methodology, illustrates the GHG emissions totals, and provides more detailed support to explain the FY 2019-20 results. Not included in the report is an evaluation of MWMC’s progress toward GHG emissions reduction as targets and goals have yet to be established. Significant Changes in the FY 2019-20 Report Starting with the FY 2019-20 GHG emissions report for MWMC facilities, the Market Based emissions factor for electricity is used instead of the Location Based emissions factor, which for the State of Oregon is the Northwest Power Pool (NWPP), an average value for emissions intensity from all energy producers in the states of Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, and major portions of Nevada, Utah, Northern California and the Canadian provinces of British Columbia and Alberta. The Market Based emissions factor is a value for emissions intensity specific to only the utilities serving the MWMC facilities, which includes the contractual agreements between the local utilities (e.g., EWEB, SUB, EPUD, Blachly-Lane, et al.) and their specific energy producers (e.g., Seneca Sustainable Energy, Wheatridge Renewable Energy, Bonneville Power Administration, et al.). For comparisons in this report to the prior GHG emission reporting years, the market-based emissions factor has been applied retroactively to the data for all previous GHG emissions inventories, going back to the first inventory conducted for MWMC facilities in 2010. Recorded Change in Global CO2 Levels Global CO2 Measurement: 417 ppm (June 2021) Data Source: NOAA reconstruction from ice cores Retrieved From: National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) on July 23, 2021 at https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/carbon-dioxide/ FY 2019-20 GHG Emissions Report | Page 2 GHG EMISSIONS SUMMARY Greenhouse gas inventories have been conducted for MWMC facilities every other year beginning with calendar year 2010. Starting in 2017 the GHG inventories have been reported based on fiscal year (FY) timing versus calendar year (CY) to align with the City of Eugene’s GHG inventory year. Figure 1 – GHG Emissions1 FY 2019-20 total emissions were the third highest since reporting began in 2010 but 21.7% lower than in FY 17-18. Compared to prior inventory results, emissions from capital projects were significantly lower, while operating related emissions were the highest of all prior reporting years. The higher operating emissions were largely due to higher supply-chain demand and costs in 2019-2020. Higher operating emissions were also due to fleet expenses and Major Rehabilitation projects. Figure 2 – Benefits of GHG Emissions The benefits that resulted from MWMC activities as CO2 displacement or sequestration was a total of -9,486 MT CO2e in FY 2019-20, which is more than in FY 2017-18. The Biocycle Farm lost poplar-tree biomass due to the ice storm in December 2016 and early harvesting in 2017. Due to replanting and biomass growth after the storm, Biocycle Farm provided the largest benefit in FY 2019-20, by sequestration of -6,005 MT CO2e. Please note, however, that the cumulative total of CO2 sequestration at Biocycle Farm has gone down since the initial planting in 2004, largely due to the losses from the December 2016 storm. 1 Emissions data and methodology detail provided in the Appendix. FY 2019-20 GHG Emissions Report | Page 3 CLIMATE BENEFITS FROM MWMC ACTIVITIES While wastewater treatment activities generally contribute to GHG emissions, some activities have reduced GHG emissions. The beneficial activities at MWMC facilities with the greatest effect were from displacing GHG emissions (e.g., electricity generated from the biogas-fueled generator) and by carbon sequestration (e.g., emissions captured by trees at the Biocycle Farm). The GHG inventory protocol (methodology) used to calculate the FY 2019-20 emissions from MWMC facilities does not subtract from the total the amount of MT CO2e that was displaced and sequestered. The following benefits of MWMC operational activities are explained for reference only. Carbon Sequestration  Carbon Sequestration by Biocycle Poplar Trees ( -6,005 MT CO2e) The Biocycle farm has been in operation since 2004 when Management Unit #1 (MU1) was planted with 35,000 trees. Two subsequent units were planted for a total of 88,000 trees. MU1 was harvested in stages between the years 2013-2015 and then replanted in 2017. In December 2016 an ice storm severely damaged MU2 and some of MU3. This resulted in the early harvesting of MU2 and parts of MU3 in 2017. Harvested portions of the Biocycle Farm are not counted as sequestration in GHG emissions accounting. Also, MU1 has smaller trees due to more recent replanting, and many studies indicate that younger trees sequester less carbon than more mature ones. The FY 2017-18 GHG inventory reported an estimated -17,974 MT CO2e total sequestration (i.e., 2004 to June 2018) as growth in biomass occurred only from the trees that remained standing and un-harvested after the ice storm, and the year over year (YoY) change was not calculated. From 2004 to June 2020, the total sequestration at Biocycle Farm is -23,979 MT CO2e and the YoY change is -6,005 MT CO2e as a benefit from biomass growth. Due to the planned harvesting of MU3 in 2021, the current projection is that total MT CO2e sequestration from growth in biomass at the Biocycle Farm will be lower for the next reporting period, scheduled for 2023 (i.e., the FY 2021- 22 report).  Soil Carbon Sequestration ( -551 MT CO2e) When biosolids are applied to soil, a proportion of the organic carbon remains trapped and therefore increases the health and sequestration potential of the existing soil. Displaced GHG Emissions  Displaced Grid Electricity ( -1,560 MT CO2e) Biogas-generated electricity, which is considered renewable and the emissions largely biogenic, displaces grid electricity2 that has significantly higher anthropogenic carbon intensity. The renewability of biogas-generated electricity is accounted for with Renewable Energy Certificates, or RECs (1 kWh of electricity = 1 REC). 2 Starting in the FY 2019-20 GHG emissions report for MWMC facilities, the Market Based emissions factor for electricity is used instead of the Location Based emissions factor, which for the State of Oregon is the Northwest Power Pool (PWPP). For more information, see https://www.epa.gov/egrid/power-profiler#/ FY 2019-20 GHG Emissions Report | Page 4 Displaced grid electricity more than doubled in FY 2019-20 over FY 2017-18 as the digestion capacity and boiler replacement projects had been completed, resulting in optimal uptime from the 800KW heat-and-power engine generator. Displaced grid electricity was -740 MT CO2e in FY 2017-18, which increased by 111% going into FY 2019-20. That is, most of the digester gas produced during this time fueled the engine generator and was not directly flared through the waste gas burner. MWMC sells 100% of the RECs generated at the treatment plant to EWEB and therefore cannot claim any of the associated environmental benefits calculated within any of the GHG emissions inventories on MWMC facilities. For FY 2019-20, MWMC Facilities received $2,250 for RECs, which is significantly more than what REC revenue received in FY 2017-18, as the market value of RECs is subject to major swings from year to year. Solar-generated electricity from the photovoltaic (PV) panel array at the treatment plant also displaced the need for grid electricity during the FY 2019-20 reporting period and has been calculated by Good Company at -2.2 MT CO2e by applying the market-based emissions factor (-13.1 MT CO2e for location-based). The electricity generated from the PV array is consumed on site through a net-metering agreement with EWEB, and the additional electricity needed to run equipment powered by the PV array is then billed on the monthly invoices.  Displaced Conventional Natural Gas ( -1,267 MT CO2e) The wastewater treatment plant displaces the use of natural gas with biogas by capturing the heat generated from the plant’s 800KW engine generator for process heating.  Displaced Conventional Fertilizer ( -104 MT CO2e) Substituting biosolids for conventional fertilizer displaces the emissions that would have otherwise been created in the production of conventional fertilizers. RECENT AND UPCOMING GREENHOUSE GAS REDUCTION ACTION ITEMS The following GHG emissions reduction related activities are currently underway or being discussed for future action. MWMC is currently contributing innovative and significant climate action projects on a regional scale that align with the goals and intent of the City of Eugene Community Climate Action Plan, referred to as CAP 2.0:  Implementation of the Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Program. The RNG facility will condition nearly 100% of the biogas generated at the wastewater treatment plant for transmission and distribution by NWNatural as fuel. Current operational activity in support of GHG reduction:  Ongoing adherence to the ISO 14001 standard for Environmental Management System (EMS) compliance. The longstanding goal of the EMS program is to reduce energy use, reduce the volume of solid waste, and rely less on non-renewable vehicle fuels, and the objectives met in 2020 toward the goal included the installation of electric vehicle charging stations at the treatment plant, and implementation of a fats, oils, and grease program (FOG) to reduce impact on the sanitary sewer system, thereby reducing energy use for treatment. FY 2019-20 GHG Emissions Report | Page 5 Community Partners: Lane County and City of Eugene MWMC’s community partners have publicly stated their intent to reduce GHG emissions within their respective organizations and issued the following directives:  Incorporate energy efficient technologies and green building design into new capital construction and refurbishment of buildings (e.g., energy efficient HVAC systems, repurposed road paving materials, etc.).  Contract from local service and material providers when possible.  Reduce vehicle miles traveled by promoting teleconferencing (e.g., webinars, conference calls, online seminars) or utilize bus, bike or other low-carbon transportation options.  Expand urban tree canopy cover through new and replacement tree planting.  Replace gasoline and diesel fleet vehicles with electric, hybrid-electric, and/or renewable natural gas (RNG) fleet vehicles.  Establish a climate recovery ordinance (CRO) with emissions reduction targets. CONTACT INFORMATION & ADDITIONAL RESOURCES City of Eugene staff James McClendon, Ivan Campbell, and Sharon Olson conducted the FY 2019-20 inventory of MWMC’s GHG emissions. Technical support on the FY 2019-20 GHG inventory was provided by Aaron Toneys and Claudia Denton at Good Company, a leading provider of professional consultation and services for sustainability planning in the public and private sectors. For more information, call or email: James McClendon, 541-682-8608 JMcclendon@eugene-or.gov Ivan Campbell, 541-682-8620 ICampbell@eugene-or.gov Sharon Olson, 541-682-8625 SOlson@eugene-or.gov Appendix | Page 1 Appendix GREENHOUSE GAS ACCOUNTING: EMISSIONS SCOPES The main sources of emissions from MWMC facilities include wastewater treatment process emissions, electricity usage, and supply chain purchases. GHG emissions are categorized into three Scopes according to the protocol, defined as follows:  Scope 1 emissions are direct emissions which originate from equipment and facilities owned and operated by MWMC—primarily from fossil fuel combustion and wastewater treatment processes.  Scope 2 emissions are indirect emissions from purchased electricity.  Scope 3 emissions are all other indirect emissions that result from the activities of the MWMC Facilities, but where the direct sources are controlled by other entities or service providers, such as construction of capital projects, supply-chain related transport, solid waste disposal, employee commute and business travel, and energy transmission and distribution losses. In the most current City of Eugene GHG emissions inventory and report (FY 2018-19), the cumulative total of MWMC facility emissions (i.e., all three scopes) are included as Scope 3 emissions for Eugene. GREENHOUSE GAS ACCOUNTING: METHODOLOGY The inventory used for this FY 2019-20 GHG report follows the Local Government Operations Protocol (LGOP), which was developed jointly by The Climate Registry and affiliated organizations.3 The LGOP protocol only requires the reporting of emissions in Scopes 1 and 2 as defined by the World Resources Institute. Therefore, this inventory has been expanded to include several additional Scope 1 process emission sources specific to biosolids management as well as shared emission categories from Scope 3. The use of these tools to measure additional emissions sources has enabled a more accurate inventory of GHG emissions from MWMC facilities. The protocols and methods used to account for the additional Scope 1 and Scope 3 emissions sources are documented in Good Company’s Carbon Calculator (G3C) and the G3C-WW (Wastewater) module used to calculate emissions for this inventory. The additional Scope 1 emissions sources were estimated using either the LGOP (for emissions associated with denitrification and discharge of effluent) or the Canadian Ministers of the Environment’s Biosolids Emissions Assessment Model (BEAM) for emissions associated with biosolids storage, drying and land application. Displaced emissions from grid electricity and conventional natural gas are calculated to be the same as an equal quantity of grid-purchased electricity or natural gas. BEAM was used to estimate benefits associated with displaced conventional fertilizer and soil carbon sequestration from land application of biosolids. Carbon sequestration by poplar trees at the Biocycle Farm was calculated using the methodology specified by the Climate Action Reserve’s Urban Forest Protocol.4 3 The Local Government Operations (LGO) Protocol was developed in collaboration among The Climate Registry (TCR), the California Air Resources Board (CARB), the California Climate Action Registry (CCAR, now the Climate Action Reserve), and ICLEI Local Governments for Sustainability. The LGO Protocol follows the same format as The Climate Registry’s General Reporting Protocol (GRP). 4 Climate Action Reserve (CAR) Urban Forest Protocol can be found at http://www.climateactionreserve.org/how/protocols/urban-forest/ Appendix | Page 2 GREENHOUSE GAS ACCOUNTING: SUMMARY OF INVENTORY DETAILS Scope 1 emissions include process related emissions from wastewater treatment and biosolids processing, which for MWMC facilities in FY 2019-20 amounted to 4,817 MT CO2e and was very similar to the amount of emissions in previous reporting years, an increase of 8.3% as shown in Figure 1. Scope 2 emissions are the result of consuming electricity and are the lowest emissions of the three scopes for FY 2019-20 and in all reporting years. Scope 2 emissions were 791 MT CO2e, an increase from FY 2017-18. Noted that the FY 2019-20 emissions report has been calculated according to the Market Based emissions factor for Scope 2 electricity (i.e., local utilities in Oregon) instead of the Location Based emissions factor (i.e., NWPP average for the greater region). More information on emissions factors for electricity will be explained in the following sections of this report. Figure 1 - MWMC Facilities Emissions by Scope Scope 3 emissions result from the purchase of goods and services for capital projects, travel, solid waste disposal, and upstream energy production. Scope 3 emissions were 5,068 MT CO2e for FY 2019- 20, a decrease of 43.4% from FY 2017-18. Supply chain emissions for FY 2017-18 were largely due to intensive construction activity at the MWMC facilities for the new digester and expansion of the maintenance building, whereas the Scope 3 emissions for FY 2019-20 included much less CIP-related construction other than completion of the ESB/Laboratory building. However, just as in FY 2017-18 and in all other reporting years, the largest category of emissions from the MWMC facilities for FY 2019-20 is Scope 3 supply-chain related emissions, mostly due to a 17.4% increase in solid waste disposal, as illustrated in Figure 2. Figure 2 - Overview of the MWMC Facilities’ Greenhouse Gas Emissions * Other category represents emissions from refrigerants, natural gas, and non-fleet fuels. Appendix | Page 3 Scope 1 – Direct Emissions Details Wastewater Treatment and Biosolids Process Emissions GHG inventory protocol for the accounting of greenhouse gas emissions distinguishes human-caused emissions (anthropogenic) from the greenhouse gases stemming from natural processes (biogenic). Anthropogenic GHG emissions are those emissions associated with human activities dependent on the combustion of fossil fuels such as the burning of oil, coal and gas and process emissions from industrial activities, such as the methane and nitrous oxide released from the treatment of wastewater. Biogenic emissions are part of the natural biogeochemical cycling of carbon. Biogenic emissions are carbon dioxide from the combustion of non-fossilized, biologically based materials such as biogas and biofuels (e.g., biodiesel) and natural processes such as the decomposition of organic materials. For FY 2019-20, wastewater treatment and biosolids process emissions accounted for 94% of anthropogenic Scope 1 emissions. As shown in Figure 3, methane is the largest source of anthropogenic GHG emissions from the biosolids lagoon process5. Figure 3 - MWMC Facilities Anthropogenic Emissions for FY 2019-20 5 Wastewater lagoons in the US are significant contributors of methane emissions, contributing approximately 2,300,000 metric tons per year. See Harper, L.A. "Methane emissions from an anaerobic swine lagoon." Journal of Atmospheric Environment. Retrieved 2 November 2011. Appendix | Page 4 Scope 2 – Indirect Emissions Details, Electricity Electricity Emissions Scope 2 emissions resulting from the consumption of electricity increased by 129.6% between the FY 2017-18 inventory and the FY 2019-20 inventory period. The Market Based emissions factor was applied to all inventories from 2010 to 2020 for point-by-point comparisons between years. The market-based approach is weighted according to which utility company is contracted to supply electricity and any power purchasing agreements associated with the contract. The market-based emissions factor for this report is Eugene Water and Electric Board (EWEB) and Springfield Utility Board (SUB), which distributes electricity primarily from the Bonneville Power Administration (BPA), whose electricity is almost entirely generated from low-carbon sources such as hydropower and wind. Electricity Use Emission Factors Several assumptions are factored in to estimate GHG emissions from the sources included in the GHG inventory. The most significant assumption regards which emissions factor is used to calculate emissions from electricity use. An emissions factor is a representation of the carbon intensity per unit of electricity (e.g., MT CO2e per megawatt-hour). Important to note here that both EWEB and SUB emissions factors increased significantly from 2018 to 2019, as shown in Table 1. Emissions factors change from year to year because they are largely influenced by the water year and related hydroelectricity available from Bonneville Power Administration and utility-owned generation resources. During the FY 2019-20 reporting year, EWEB and SUB hydroelectric generation facilities were offline for periods of time, requiring more market purchases of electricity, and as a result the emissions factors increased. Table 1 – Market Based Emissions Factors for EWEB and SUB EWEB MT CO2e / MWh SUB MT CO2e / MWh MWMC Facilities Total Consumption in MWh CY 2010 0.029 0.058 19,457 CY 2012 0.013 0.015 19,023 CY 2014 0.014 0.017 18,407 FY 15-16 0.010 0.012 17,122 FY 17-18 0.015 0.012 16,384 FY 19-20 0.055 0.020 15,557 While there was a notable decrease in electricity usage at MWMC facilities evident in FY 2019-20, even with the expansion of square footage of buildings at the treatment plant6, the end result is that total electricity usage (Scope 2) shows an increase in FY 2019-20 because the market-based emissions factor for EWEB and SUB increased during the same period of time. Reducing Electricity Usage Efforts to reduce electricity usage over the years have included large- and small-scale energy efficiency projects. MWMC projects have included the implementation of an air-compressor 6 MWMC capital projects that increased the square footage of facilities included the additional wing of the maintenance building, the addition of the Environmental Services Building (ESB)/Laboratories, and the addition of the fourth digester – all of which have increased the demand for electricity. Appendix | Page 5 management program, installation of a passive grit collection system, replacement of pump station equipment with more efficient variable frequency drive pumps, efficiency improvements to odorous air controls, and upgrading to a more efficient aeration blower in the Secondary treatment area. In July 2018, a photovoltaic panel array (solar panels) was installed at the treatment plant in association with construction of the maintenance complex, yielding FY 2019-20 benefit of -2.2 MT CO2e. As shown in Figure 4 below, the regional treatment plant location continues to be the largest source of Scope 2 emissions among all MWMC facilities. Figure 4 - Emissions from Electricity Consumption – Scope 2 Location-Based Versus Market-Based Electricity Accounting The Greenhouse Gas Protocol’s Scope 2 Guidance system, the global standard for public agencies, includes two separate methodologies for calculating Scope 2 electricity emissions. The location-based methodology is calculated according to a defined geographic boundary, or regional grid, and is weighted toward collective consumer demand and maintaining grid integrity. The location-based emissions factor is the Northwest Power Pool (NWPP). Figure 5 highlights the differences between the two accounting methodologies for electricity by comparing all of the GHG inventory reporting years back to 2010. Figure 5 - Market- and Location-Based Comparison for MWMC Facilities Activity data are based on FY 2019-20 electricity consumption. The location based NWPP emissions factor is from eGRID 2018, which is the most current factor available. The market based utility-specific factor (i.e., EWEB, SUB, and other local utilities) is based on the 2018 emissions factor report by Oregon Department of Environmental Quality (ODEQ). Appendix | Page 6 Scope 3 – Indirect Emissions Details, Supply Chain Scope 3 emissions are from the purchase of goods and services for capital construction projects, travel, solid waste disposal, and upstream energy production. Scope 3 emissions were 5,080 MT CO2e in FY 2019-20, a decrease of 43.3% from the 8,963 MT CO2e in FY 2017-18. The decrease in emissions was mainly due to the completion of capital construction activity that included the fourth digester, the expansion of the maintenance building, and construction of the Environmental Services Building (ESB). The primary emissions categories for Scope 3 are capital construction supply chain, operations supply chain, and upstream energy production, as shown in Figure 7. These are the emissions resulting from the production, delivery, and use of building materials, fuels and energy products, and all other supplied goods and services. Scope 3 emissions also include emissions from business travel in non- MWMC vehicles and the landfilling of solid waste, which for FY 2019-20 showed a 17.4% increase. Figure 7 - Categories of Indirect Emissions – Scope 3 The capital construction category includes all capital construction emissions during the reporting period FY 2019-20. Construction activities that utilize concrete, steel, and other building materials produce a substantial GHG emissions footprint. Other emissions are produced mainly from purchases related to maintenance of buildings, facilities, and equipment. Upstream energy production includes emissions from MWMC’s supply chain purchases of energy products. Scope 1 and Scope 2 emissions account for ‘tailpipe’ emissions from combusting fossil fuels. Scope 3 emissions from upstream energy production include the energy use and process emissions resulting from the extraction, transportation, refinement, and distribution of energy products used in MWMC-owned equipment or used in the generation of electricity consumed by MWMC facilities and equipment. For example, methane leakage during natural gas extraction and transport falls under the category of upstream energy production within Scope 3. The operations supply chain category includes chemicals used in the treatment processes at MWMC facilities. Chemicals comprise a large proportion of the materials and supplies emissions as are replacement parts and components. Purchases of vehicles, heavy equipment, laboratory supplies, and professional services are also accounted for in operations supply chain emissions. ______________________________________________________________________________ M E M O R A N D U M DATE: September 2, 2021 TO: Metropolitan Wastewater Management Commission (MWMC) FROM: Todd Miller, Environmental Services Supervisor SUBJECT: Planning Projects Update ACTION REQUESTED: Informational and Discussion ISSUE Several MWMC projects that have been in the planning and development phase for the past several years are reaching milestones in 2021. Progress is being made on the MWMC’s Riparian Shade Credits, Poplar Harvest Management, and Recycled Water Demonstration projects that warrants updates to the Commission. This memo provides an overview of the status of these projects. Staff will present more information on these milestones at the September 10, 2021 Commission meeting. BACKGROUND MWMC capital projects typically follow a planning, design, and construction/implementation pathway. Several significant MWMC programs which bridge this pathway have been under development for the past decade. In the past two years, the MWMC has authorized contracts to support the development of the Riparian Shade Credit Program, Poplar Harvest Management Services, and Class A Recycled Water Disinfection Facilities and Demonstration. Riparian Shade Credit Program (MWMC Project P80080) This project was launched in 2012 with the three pilot shade credit projects (two on Cedar Creek and one on the Springfield Mill Race) under a contract with The Freshwater Trust. In 2019, the MWMC procured The Freshwater Trust as the MWMC’s “Credit Program Manager” to develop the framework and eventual implementation of the MWMC’s thermal load credit program for National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permit compliance through the MWMC’s emerging involvement with the regional Pure Water Partners collaboration. In 2020, the MWMC authorized The Freshwater Trust to implement two pilot projects under the newly established Pure Water Partners working agreements. In July 2021, the Commission approved staff’s recommendation to amend The Freshwater Trust to expand acreage on one of the pilot sites. Through these efforts, staff is working with The Freshwater Trust to launch the MWMC’s Water Quality Trading Plan for the upcoming NPDES permit renewal. AGENDA ITEM VI Memo: Planning Projects Updates September 2, 2021 Page 2 of 3 Poplar Harvest Management Services (MWMC Project P80083) This project was launched in 2013 to oversee the initial harvests, replanting, and marketing of the Biocycle Farm’s three management units of hybrid poplar trees. In July 2021, the Commission authorized contracts for harvesting of Management Unit 3 (MU3). Prior to this harvest, the MWMC contracted with the marketing consulting firm MIG to assist with an outreach strategy to develop interest in Biocycle Farm poplar harvests. Upon completion of MU3 replanting, long-term management recommendations will steer the direction of the Biocycle Farm’s operations. Class A Recycled Water Facilities/Demonstration (MWMC Projects P80098 and P80099) The MWMC underwent a three-phase planning study for recycled water and thermal load mitigation strategy development that started in 2011. The ultimate outcome of that study was recommendation to develop and demonstrate Class A recycled water use with key community partners as a critical step toward building a long-term recycled water program. In October 2020, the MWMC authorized a design contract with Kennedy Jenks Consultants under Project P80098 for Class A Disinfection Facilities. Staff is seeking grant funding for the construction phase of that project and to support implementation of demonstration projects under Project P80099. MWMC has contracted with MIG to assist with outreach and marketing to build community support for long-term recycled water use. DISCUSSION Key current status and updated highlights are discussed below for each project. Riparian Shade Credit Program Staff has amended The Freshwater Trust contract to expand riparian shade restoration acreage on the second Pure Water Partners pilot site. The amendment also addresses ongoing support from The Freshwater Trust in final adoption and implementation of the MWMC’s water quality trading plan. The current Credit Program Manager contract with The Freshwater Trust is nearing a close with these final efforts. A full status of the objectives, project deliverables, and outcomes of this work is presented as Attachment 1: Credit Program Manager Task Status. The Freshwater Trust developed a draft water quality trading plan for the MWMC in 2020 in anticipation of a 2021 NPDES permit renewal. In May 2021, The Freshwater Trust produced a costing evaluation and proposal for the MWMC’s regulatory compliance program based on parameters developed with staff and on knowledge gained from the Pure Water Partners implementation. The Freshwater Trust’s cost evaluation is presented as Attachment 2: Phase 2 Program Price Proposal. Staff will discuss the cost proposal at the September meeting. To date, the three early pilot projects have been verified with credits recorded and attributed to the MWMC. The Pure Water Partners pilot projects will be verified and recorded by spring 2022. Staff will demonstrate viewing of the credits via the HIS Markit online database at the September meeting. Poplar Harvest Management Services Per MWMC authorizations at the July 2021 MWMC meeting, staff negotiated final contracts with CTS, Inc., Lane Forest Products, and Urban Lumber for the harvest, processing, and milling of MU3 trees. As of the date of this memo, harvest of MU3 is 50% complete. All tree felling is projected to be completed by October 1, 2021 and all post-harvest clean-up activities should be finished by November 1, 2021. Memo: Planning Projects Updates September 2, 2021 Page 3 of 3 Staff will present updates on the harvest status and current marketing and end use of the harvested poplar. MIG’s recommendations to the MWMC for ongoing outreach and marketing of poplar is presented as Attachment 3: Poplar Marketing Implementation Matrix. Recycled Water Demonstration Kennedy Jenks recently completed the 60% design phase of the Class A Disinfection Facilities project with updated construction cost estimates. Staff will discuss key milestones of the 60% design and cost estimate and projected implementation timeline. The Class A 60% Design Cost Estimate is presented as Attachment 4: Opinion of Probable Construction Cost. As a demonstration project, staff is seeking grant funding to partially finance the design, construction, and implementation of the project. The MWMC’s Class A recycled water resource is a key community asset for potential drought mitigation. Currently, three grant opportunities have been identified and have been applied for or are in the process of application submittal.  Oregon Water Resources Department, Water Projects Grants and Loan program  State Hazard Mitigation Office, Hazard Mitigation Grant Program  US Bureau of Reclamation, WaterSMART - Drought Resiliency Projects grant program At the September meeting, staff will discuss the alignment of these grant opportunities and MIG’s outreach support for demonstration project implementation. ACTION REQUESTED This topic is presented as an information update. No action is requested. ATTACHMENTS  Attachment 1: Credit Program Manager Task Status  Attachment 2: Phase 2 Program Price Proposal  Attachment 3: Poplar Marketing Implementation Matrix  Attachment 4: Opinion of Probable Construction Cost Credit Program Manager Task Status as of July 1, 2021 MWMC Project P80080 Page 1 Objective Contract Deliverables Work Products Status Task 1A: Credit Program Framework Building Original Budget: $58,780 Spent to Date: $66,623 Amended Budget: $66,780 Objective 1A-1: McKenzie Watershed Conservation Fund Structure Assistance Recommend Fund architecture that best facilitates the tracking and payments for credit project implementation. • Summary of TFT Suggestions for Differentiating the Pure Water Partners Program & MWMC’s Water Quality Trading Program (Report, 8/7/19) • Review and input on PWP program evaluation metrics (Word Doc Comments, 3/18/20) • Input on funding process and project implementation (Email, 5/1/20) 100% complete. Outcome: MWMC funds shade credit restoration directly via TFT. TFT works within PWP frameworks to reimburse partners for credit program efforts. Objective 1A-2: PWP Shade Credit Implementation Protocols Assistance Recommend the process/protocols to be followed for implementing shade credit projects via PWP to best leverage partnership efficiency and mutual goals. • Alternative/recompiled PWP MOA (Document, 4/10/19) • Review and comments on PWP MOA (Word Doc Comments, 4/30/19 and 7/10/19) • Possible Contracting & Compensation Structures between TFT and Implementers in the MWMC Thermal Credit Program (Document, 11/27/19) • EWEB-TFT Partnership Agreement (Document, 1/29/21) 100% complete • PWP MOA Adoption Agreement signed by MWMC on 12/17/20. Outcome: TFT oversees site selection, landowner agreements, credit cycle documentation & tracking, and completes some monitoring. PWP Implementers recruit landowners, conduct implementation, and complete some monitoring. Objective 1A-3: Shade Credit Site Identification Guidance Develop guidelines for strategizing the targeting, identification, recruitment, and enrollment of shade credit sites for the MWMC. • Identifying and Screening Shade Credit sites (Presentation, 7/27/19) • Priority Shade Taxlots Identification (Spreadsheet and GIS Map, 1/13/20) • (McKenzie) Riparian Planting Program (Outreach Brochure, 2/6/20) • PWP Landowner Outreach Meeting (Virtual Presentation, 5/6/20) 100% complete. Outcome: Upper 30th percentile shade production sites in MWMC trading area are targeted for recruitment. PWP implementers are trained in credit site implementation. Under Task 2A, TFT will also produce Program Implementation Guidance reference materials for PWP Implementers. Attachment 1 - Credit Program Manager Task Status Credit Program Manager Task Status as of July 1, 2021 MWMC Project P80080 Page 2 Objective Contract Deliverables Work Products Status Task 1B: Stakeholder/ PWP Engagement Original Budget: $40,308 Spent to Date: $23,519 Amended Budget: $25,308 Objective 1B-1: Project Strategy Meetings As needed project management coordination. • Participated in monthly and as needed phone, virtual, and in-person meetings to coordinate on project strategy, directions, and adaptations. 100% complete Outcome: Reallocation of task budgets and additional funding to adapt to focus on Water Quality Trading Plan and pilot site implementation. Objective 1B-2: PWP Meeting Participation Up to 12 monthly meetings of PWP to provide input and recommendations related to shade credit needs. • Attended in-person and virtual monthly meetings from April 2019 through June 2021 and provided email input for agenda and follow ups (Initial 12 meetings and additional year of meetings). 100% complete Outcome: Fully incorporated understanding of drivers and protocols for MWMC shade credit projects as part of the Pure Water Partners program. Objective 1B-3: MWCF Workshop Participation Up to 3 workshops to provide guidance on behalf of the MWMC’s shade credit program funding needs • Attended 2 workshops (3/14/19 and 10/9/19) and provided email comments and recommendations. 100% complete • PWP Program Handbook v1.0 adopted March 2020 Outcome: MWMC roles of Committee Member and Funder and TFT role of Project Implementer defined in context of PWP program. Credit Program Manager Task Status as of July 1, 2021 MWMC Project P80080 Page 3 Objective Contract Deliverables Work Products Status Task 1C: WQT Plan & Permit Support Original Budget: $65,100 Spent to Date: $52,098 Amended Budget: $79,000 Objective 1C-1: Background Information Compilation Support water-quality trading plan understanding and decision-making. • Regulatory Background Supporting Trading in Oregon (preface to Proposed Water Quality Plan, 1/6/20, revised 5/21/20) 100% complete Outcome: Defined basis for MWMC’s trading eligibility, trading baseline, trading area, and regulatory compliance. Objective 1C-2: Draft MWMC Water Quality Trading Plan Develop a draft water- quality trading plan to meet NPDES permit compliance and PWP objectives based on the MWMC’s initial credit production target. • MWMC Proposed Water Quality Trading Plan (Draft Document, 1/6/20) • MWMC Proposed Water Quality Trading Plan Summary (Info Sheet, 1/22/20) 100% complete Outcome: All structural elements for the MWMC’s future Water Quality Trading Plan are defined for lower McKenzie, Middle Fork Willamette, and Coast Fork Willamette tributaries with protocols for credit validation and ratios. Objective 1C-3: Pre- Permit Implementation Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) Assist the MWMC with development of an agreement with DEQ to provide the highest achievable level of regulatory certainty for the MWMC to proceed with implementing water quality trading credit projects. • Example product: City of Ashland Water Quality Trading Plan and Performance Standards for Riparian Restoration (March 7, 2018) as approved by DEQ pre-permit shared out to MWMC pre-contract (Documents, 11/30/18). 100% complete Outcome: Given MWMC’s position on the DEQ’s 2021 Permit Issuance Plan and the early implementation of the two pilot PWP shade credit projects in 2020, a pre-permit MOA was not pursued. Regulatory goals under this objective are addressed through approval of the MWMC’s Water Quality Trading Plan. Credit Program Manager Task Status as of July 1, 2021 MWMC Project P80080 Page 4 Objective Contract Deliverables Work Products Status Objective 1C-4: Temporal Evaluation of PWP Shade Credit Outcomes Develop an understanding of the change in daily kilocalories of thermal load benefit produced by a theoretical full implementation of the MWMC’s target shade credit on PWP sites, at a minimum of monthly increments and daily for October 22-31. • Example Shade Credits by Date (Chart, 4/23/19) • Compilation of MWMC DMRs for temperature exceedance assessment (Data, 4/26/19) • Thermal Benefit Modeling Options & Sensitivity Analysis (Report, 12/23/19) • Year-Round Shade Program Potential (Memo & Workbooks, 12/17/20) 100% complete Outcome: Mainstem McKenzie River sites in upper 30th percentile are most effective for spring and fall needs. Models for low- leaf density from Nov. 1 to Mar. 31 indicates shade values drop significantly starting Nov. 1; therefore, the key modeling date for shade credit production optimization was re-set to Oct. 31. Objective 1C-5: Final MWMC Water Quality Trading Plan Adopt final revisions to the draft MWMC trading plan developed under Objective 1C-2 to reflect DEQ negotiations/requirement s and PWP considerations. • MWMC Proposed Water Quality Trading Plan with Instream Credits Protocols (Revised Document, 5/21/20) • Draft WQT Plan discussion of MWMC comments and directions (Meeting, 8/27/20) • Scoping an Instream Program for Water Quality Trading Credit (Proposal, 10/2/20) 50% complete Outcome: TFT recommendations for the MWMC Water Quality Trading Plan have been accepted by staff. Additional funding for TFT support in vetting the plan through DEQ pre-permit and through final public review and adoption is warranted. In- stream/floodplain restoration credits are included under the proposed plan but will not be pursued by the MWMC until after the initial shade credit program is implemented. Credit Program Manager Task Status as of July 1, 2021 MWMC Project P80080 Page 5 Objective Contract Deliverables Work Products Status Task 1D: Prep Phase 2 Cost & Approach Original Budget: $28,875 Spent to Date: $47,760 Amended Budget: $50,875 1D-1: Pre-DEQ MOA Pilot implementation strategy Develop interim guidelines and cost proposal to benefit the MWMC through early landowner PWP participation to include shade credit project implementation. • Shade Project Timeline - proposed (Excel chart, 1/23/20) • Cost estimate for pilot site implementation (Email, 1/29/20) • PWP Pilot Site Task 2A draft timeline (Chart, 2/12/20) • Task 2A shade pilot proposal (email, 2/12/20) • MWMC pilot site activity timeline – draft (Chart, 2/12/20) 100% complete • Task 2A contract amendment executed April 3, 2020. Outcome: MWMC authorization to enroll two sites for early implementation through planting phase via Task 2A. 1D-2: Phase 2 cost estimate scenario Prepare the cost basis for the long-term agreement for CPM fulfillment of MWMC shade credit implementation based on multiple scenarios. • Disaster Mitigation & Remediation Grant Funding Analysis (Word doc and email, 9/27/20) • Phase 2 Program Price Proposal (Document, 5/24/21) 100% complete. Outcome: MWMC program target set to 200 Mkcal/day of credits based on October 31 model date over 5-year implementation period. Cost range for pre-payment versus credit reimbursement range is $9,289,206 to $12,407,537. 1D-3: Credit site long- term maintenance proposal Develop the long-term strategy including roles, responsibilities, costs, funding, and guarantees for maintaining the MWMC’s shade credit sites • Phase 2 Program Price Proposal (Document, 5/24/21) 100% complete. Outcome: For pilot sites initiated prior to the final adopted credit-cost contract proposed under Objective 1D-2, MWMC would pay for full 20-year credit maintenance at the credit cost less any previously incurred costs paid to TFT. Credit Program Manager Task Status as of July 1, 2021 MWMC Project P80080 Page 6 Objective Contract Deliverables Work Products Status Task 2A: New Credit Implementation - PWP Pilot Sites Original Budget: $247,850 Spent to Date: $151,602 Amended Budget: $287,500 2A-1: Site Selection Select one or more sites from the PWP landowner pool that meet the geographic needs of the MWMC’s proposed water quality trading area • Pilot Site #1 RM 24 identified (Email notification, 1/22/20) • Pilot Site #2 identified (Email notification, 10/12/20) 100% complete Outcome: TFT vetted 5 sites and proceeded with 2: McKenzie RM 24 and McKenzie RM 32. 2A-2: Enroll Sites Enter into binding and durable riparian shade restoration agreements with one or more landowners of the selected sites. • EWEB-TFT partnership agreement (draft) (Document, 4/16/20) • Riparian Land Lease Agreement for McKenzie RM 24 (Document, 8/5/2020) • EWEB-TFT Partnership Agreement (final) (Document, 1/29/21) • Riparian Land Lease Agreement for McKenzie RM 32 (Document, 3/22/2021) 100% complete • McKenzie RM 24 site agreement signed 8/5/20 • EWEB-TFT Partnership Agreement executed Feb. 2021 • McKenzie RM 32 site agreement signed 3/22/21 Outcome: EWEB designated TFT as MWMC’s Credit Production Manager to oversee all shade credit site implementation work under EWEB’s PWP agreements. For sites without existing PWP agreements, TFT develops a lease directly with the landowner. Credit Program Manager Task Status as of July 1, 2021 MWMC Project P80080 Page 7 Objective Contract Deliverables Work Products Status 2A-3: Restore Sites Consistent with the partnership arrangements under the current draft PWP Memorandum of Agreement and Handbook and protocols as outlined in the proposed MWMC water quality trading plan, coordinate site restoration plans, ground preparation, planting, and Year 1 maintenance and monitoring, and credit verification/registration activities with PWP implementers and other sub-contractors, as necessary. • MWMC Pilot Site Activity Timeline (Chart, 2/12/20) 50% complete Outcome: McKenzie RM 24 and McKenzie RM 32 fully planted. Year 1 maintenance and monitoring of these sites as well as planting of new project (McKenzie RM 31.8) added via this amendment. Program Implementation Guidance report is in draft stage and will be updated with lessons learned from pilot implementation. Final credit verification/registration is deferred as a requirement from this scope of work given timelines to complete prior to June 30, 2022. 2A-4: Credit Verification & Registration Follow shade credit site design, implementation, and verification protocols as outlined in the proposed MWMC water quality trading plan to verify and record site credits in MWMC’s name using the Counting on the Environment protocols. • No formal submittals to date 10% complete Outcome: Verification protocols are as documented in the draft Water Quality Trading Plan accepted by MWMC from TFT. “As-Built” Verification documentation for McKenzie RM 24 and McKenzie RM 32 sites in progress, to be followed by full credit registration. As-Built Verification of McKenzie RM 31.8 to be completed under later contract. 1 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate 700 SW Taylor Street, Suite 200 Portland, OR 97205 www.thefreshwatertrust.org Phase 2 Program Price Proposal May 24, 2021 INTRODUCTION The Metropolitan Wastewater Management Commission (the MWMC) is developing a water quality trading (WQT) program to help it achieve temperature compliance under its upcoming permit renewal. The MWMC will likely implement several elements of a temperature compliance portfolio. This memo addresses only the portion of the MWMC’s temperature exceedance that will be met by The Freshwater Trust (TFT) via a riparian shading WQT program. Over the last two years, TFT worked with potential implementation partners within the MWMC’s proposed trading area to outline and test partner roles and responsibilities and to refresh estimated prices for the portfolios of projects that will be needed to meet the MWMC’s target thermal reduction need. TFT used these inputs as well as the MWMC’s specific priorities and constraints to produce a Phase 2 program price for three contracting scenarios of primary interest to the MWMC.1 The results of this analysis are intended to support the MWMC and TFT in finalizing a contract amendment for a specific quantity of shade credits. PHASE I TARGET THERMAL REDUCTION NEED The MWMC expects that the Oregon’s Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ) will renew its National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System (NPDES) permit in 2021. However, DEQ is also required to redevelop the Willamette basin TMDL by 2025, which will likely impact the size of the MWMC’s thermal exceedance. Given this uncertainty, the MWMC desires to contract with TFT for a 25-year shade credit program to be implemented in a five-year permit period starting with its upcoming permit renewal (program duration includes five years of project implementation plus 20-year credit lives2 at projects). The MWMC has advised TFT it wishes to procure 440 million (M) kilocalories (kcals)/day in October 31st thermal benefits.3 For the remainder of the document, this need is referred to as the “Phase I target thermal reduction need.” The MWMC expects that this target thermal reduction need may satisfy approximately half of its obligation under its likely 10-year thermal compliance schedule. TFT will not address the MWMC’s full projected thermal exceedance amount via this initial contract (“Phase I Credit Contract”) so that the MWMC has a chance to see how DEQ’s TMDL recalibration effort affects its exceedance, and to assess other alternatives for cost effectively addressing the remaining exceedance amount. 1 TFT’s current contract with the MWMC has two phases. In Phase 1, TFT established the credit program framework. This memo addresses Phase 2, credit program implementation. 2 Credit project life is typically 20 years. Until the MWMC’s Water Quality Trading Plan is finalized, it is unknown whether DEQ will consider that lifespan to start from original thermal benefit registration date or from the date the permit is renewed. The effects of the DEQ’s decision on project costs will be addressed in a subsequent contract. 3 The Phase I target thermal reduction need of 440 million (M) kcals/day covers a base exceedance of 200 million (M) kcals/day. Target thermal reduction need is typically calculated as base exceedance plus 10% of base exceedance to cover margin of safety; this total is then doubled as DEQ has traditionally set aside half of the thermal benefits produced by shade projects to account for the temporal lag experienced after the installation of shade-producing riparian trees, meaning that twice the excess thermal load kilocalories are needed from shade projects to meet the compliance obligation. Attachment 2 - Phase 2 Program Price Proposal 2 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate MODELING DATE USED FOR PROGRAM PRICE ESTIMATE The MWMC directed TFT to use October 31st as the shade benefit modeling date because a review of its thermal exceedance data indicates that the facility’s period of maximum exceedance occurs in late fall.4 This date is somewhat later than that used for the earlier program price estimate, which was based on a monthly mean of thermal benefits produced in October.5 Because thermal benefits produced by riparian reforestation projects decrease in efficiency as deciduous trees lose their leaves and the sun angle declines (project costs are the same but fewer kcals are produced), modeling thermal benefits for dates later in the fall generally increases the price per kcal. PROGRAM PRICE METHODOLOGY TFT developed a program price based on an analysis of the target thermal reduction need, project-specific kcal potential and costs within the trading area, and program-level costs. TFT then assembled these elements into a risk-adjusted program price that it tests with thousands of simulations. As part of an earlier analysis completed in 2016, TFT identified 842 acres (341 hectares) of potential riparian planting area within 783 potential projects6 along approximately 120 miles (200 kilometers) of stream within McKenzie, Coast Fork Willamette, and Middle Fork Willamette subbasins. TFT then estimated per-acre and per-site costs for each potential project over its 20-year project life as well as program-level costs and risks. To increase precision and accuracy over our previous Class V price analysis, TFT expanded the project cost basis to include actual costs gathered from previous and new pilot projects and interviews with local restoration experts as well as cross-checks with actual costs incurred by comparable WQT programs. TFT also considered how program costs and risks would change because of the MWMC’s unique placement within the Pure Water Partners (PWP) program and worked closely with local PWP implementers to further tailor program design to the geography. TFT then entered all potential projects within the proposed trading area into a mathematical optimization algorithm. This algorithm calculates the project portion of program price for thousands of simulations that each represent a portfolio of projects that meet the target thermal reduction need within user-defined constraints. To account for risk, TFT then chose the project price that is one standard deviation above the average of those simulations and combined it with programmatic costs and inflation to ultimately arrive at a single program price. A. Key Input Cost Categories The program price estimates represent the sum of several major cost categories (using 2021 dollars), which are described below, along with the decisions TFT made to inform these input costs and lessons learned through pilot projects. The cost basis was weighted to more strongly reflect conditions within the geographies where the largest number of thermal benefits are available. For example, the proportion of projects likely to need a livestock exclusion fence was weighted more heavily on land use along the McKenzie River mainstem than on Mosby Creek because the kcals available along the McKenzie River are far greater than smaller streams. 4 Although the MWMC’s exceedance data suggest that there may be a slightly higher exceedance in the first week of November, that uptick may be attributed to noise in the data, or, if it persists after further data QAQC, may be addressed by operational changes or other non-shade measures. 5 “Credit Cost and Opportunities: Task 2 Deliverable”, Feb. 2 2016. 6 Note that this acreage reflects the likely areas that can be planted (i.e., a 60-foot average buffer width), not the full size of parcels, which would be much larger. For the purposes of this analysis, projects are defined by taxlot boundaries. 3 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate Landowner Recruitment Costs Landowner recruitment costs include labor necessary to conduct landowner outreach, complete project design, and obtain 20-year leases (the minimum term for these projects). Program viability declines as recruitment success drops below 15-20%. Landowner recruitment is therefore key to program success and must be adequately funded if program objectives are to be achieved. Landowner recruitment costs increase as target thermal reduction need increases because more projects must be recruited to meet that need. TFT worked with local implementation partners to define a preferred approach to landowner recruitment where local partners lead on recruitment by leveraging existing relationships and interactions with landowners. Landowners will most likely prefer to engage with a single local contact they trust. However, projects suitable for thermal benefits have not been a focus of recent recruitment efforts. This means that in addition to maintaining existing relationships, local partners will need to actively pursue potential shade project landowners. TFT will use its expertise to identify and help vet potential project feasibility and will support with targeted brochures and mailings but will mostly be behind the scenes. TFT will also use its legal expertise to develop and execute lease agreements while local partners facilitate negotiations with the landowner; this approach provides an opportunity for relationship development between the landowner and TFT. TFT is better suited to lead on development of credit cycle documentation and coordination with third-party verifiers that accompanies project design, while local partners confirm that documentation captures project conditions and facilitate on-site verifier visits. While the partnership between TFT and local restoration implementers is mutually beneficial in many ways, it requires developing trust-based relationships with excellent communication. Because local partners will be managing many other projects in addition to thermal benefit projects, TFT expects effort to be needed to ensure that sufficient partner time and attention is being invested in thermal benefit project recruitment and stewardship. During pilot project recruitment under the current contract, TFT and local partners completed outreach that secured two new thermal benefit projects, bringing the total to five pilot projects that have already been implemented for the MWMC. Additionally, 18 sites were pursued and found to have landowners that were not interested in the program or were not viable for other reasons. As an outcome of these efforts during the pilot phase, TFT added a zoning review as a step in preliminary recruitment. Specifically, parcels zoned for forestry are not well suited for thermal benefits because state-required tree stocking rates interfere with the “baseline” additionality principle of credit projects. Failed Landowner Recruitment Costs In addition to costs incurred for project lands that are successfully leased, labor and materials expenses are also invested in pursuit of projects that are not successfully recruited. Based on nearly a decade of experience implementing comparable shade credit programs, TFT has observed that recruitment costs are incurred for at least twice as many projects as are successfully signed. Landowner Payments Payments are made to landowners for leased acreage over the 20-year life of leases. Payments are key to recruitment success and to project protection. Leased acreage typically includes the planting area as well as a small buffer to ensure protection for growing tree canopy at the planting area margins. Landowner payments must be somewhat higher in the Willamette Valley and Cascade Mountain foothills than in other regions given the high value of land and the need to secure high-performance projects. Payments 4 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate are higher than local USDA NRCS CREP payments,7 and are intended to be adjusted on a project-specific basis to offer incentives to landowners for early enrollment, ambassadorship, etc. that are important for generating program momentum. Payments must be high enough to generate economic interest but will not be high enough to replace economic value of lands converted from agricultural production; recruitment of agricultural landowners is therefore most likely to be successful if landowners are already open to converting riparian frontage to forest for non-economic reasons such as bank retention or preemptive wildfire resiliency. Direct Implementation Costs Implementation costs include permitting, site preparation, plant materials, installation labor, and project management. Site preparation primarily includes weed control, which is expected to be intensive upfront because reed canary grass and Himalayan blackberry are abundant in most places that are suitable for a shade project. Intensive site prep is often cost-effective in the long run as it can reduce weed control expenses in the stewardship phase. Weed control in the riparian zone requires a county permit. Based on experience with the pilots, the permitting process is expected to be relatively straightforward with low costs per project for the permits themselves. However, very long lead times are required for county review. At the McKenzie RM 24 project, the permit application for weed control was submitted in early spring but was not reviewed and approved until October. The result was that only one instance of site preparation was possible before planting at that project (compared to two or three instances desired), which in turn is expected to increase post-planting weed control costs. To date, the county has not been amenable to considering programmatic permits such as are used in other programs; programmatic permits would be more cost-effective and avoid implementation delays. The result is that projects may not always be able to move from the landowner recruitment phase through site prep within the same year. Direct implementation costs also include plant materials and items necessary to protect the project from surrounding land uses, such as browse protection cages for target tree species on all projects, livestock fencing and off-channel watering, and elk exclusion fencing for projects that may be recruited higher up in the watershed. In general, restoration practitioners in the Willamette Valley tend to prefer to invest in planting at relatively high densities and expect plants to thin from initial mortality. This approach may be more environmentally friendly and cost-effective than planting at lower densities and expending greater resources on interplanting and maintenance. The climate of the MWMC’s draft trading area is generally favorable for establishing native riparian forests and, overall, implementation tends to be less expensive than in more arid climates because components such as moisture-retaining mulch and irrigation systems are unlikely to be needed at many projects. However, meeting the MWMC’s target thermal benefit need will require recruiting some projects that are not well connected to the floodplain or groundwater, and these projects will need supplementary irrigation. Therefore, TFT has embedded budget for three years of irrigation at a small portion of projects. Budget is also included for emergency hand-watering at a small portion of projects; emergency watering is expected to increasingly be needed to protect shade project investments at risk from climate-change induced heat and drought. TFT has already seen expenses for comparable WQT programs increase due to climate-change related shifts in precipitation amount and timing. Costs include a 10% contingency variable to account for unforeseen implementation scenarios. For example, each project inevitably must be field-fit to on-the-ground circumstances. Accommodating the 7 The USDA Natural Resources Conservation Services (NRCS) sponsors an agricultural conservation program known as the Conservation Reserve Enhancement Program (CREP). CREP is a voluntary program that offers financial incentives to private landowners to enhance and protect water quality for drinking by filtering runoff, stabilizing streambanks and shading stream channels. 5 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate unique project-specific conditions that sometimes arise during implementation typically requires the largest adjustment to the labor budget, which makes up about half of the implementation costs. In TFT’s experience, the modest contingency ensures that “base” expenses are covered, but also accounts for the customization that often occurs and that cannot be accurately scoped in advance. Project Stewardship Stewardship includes 20 years of maintenance and monitoring to assure that the modeled thermal benefits materialize and are sustained over the life of the program. Maintenance. Maintenance is expected to occur frequently for all projects until they reach “establishment,” generally within five years after planting. By project year 5, any supplemental watering should have ceased and weed control needs should be lower as plantings are expected to have grown tall enough to out-compete weeds. Plantings should have also grown above browse height by this time. Thereafter, maintenance effort and frequency will likely decrease as projects become more stable. Maintenance costs include labor (both seasonal and supervisory) and materials (e.g., irrigation system repair, browse cage upsizing, mowing equipment, etc.). Monitoring. The project monitoring approach and schedule is consistent with the Willamette Partnership’s 2016 riparian addendum to its General Crediting Protocol.8 Monitoring objectives for the MWMC’s shade credit projects would be as follows: • Years 0 – “Free to Grow” (assumed Y0-Y4): 1) provide early warning that a project may not meet performance standards; and 2) provide sufficient information on project trajectory in year 5 to inform discussions and next steps in the event that standards are not met. • Five-year cycles (Y5, Y10, Y15, Y20): confirm with a high level of certainty whether or not project performance standards are met. • Interim years past “Free to Grow” (assumed Y6-9, Y11-14, Y16-19): 1) remain informed of general project status, including major changes in trajectory, as informed by remote or qualitative monitoring; and 2) provide information in a way that can be summarized to depict status and trends across the program with gaps no greater than two years. To achieve these objectives, TFT would apply a combination of quantitative, qualitative, and remote monitoring. Monitoring costs assume that local restoration professionals will complete qualitative monitoring; the ability of local partners to take on a monitoring role results in material savings in travel time and expenses. Monitoring costs also assume that remote monitoring will be completed by acquiring free, publicly available data; and that reporting time will decrease from historical effort as reports become partially automated. Performance Tracking The Oregon water quality trading rules require that an entity using trading verify and document that best management practices (BMPs) conform to quality standards, and that credits are tracked and made available for the public.9 To be consistent with the Oregon trading rule, TFT has included verification cost 8 Willamette Partnership, Performance Standards for Riparian Vegetation (2016), available at http://willamettepartnership.org/wp- content/uploads/2014/06/Performance-Stds-for-Rip-Reveg_2016-02-16.pdf. 9 “Credits may be used for compliance with NPDES permit requirements … once implementation of BMPs has been verified as consistent with applicable BMP quality standards according to OAR 340-039-0025(5)(h).”OAR 340-039-0040(5). “(5) A trading plan must include all of the following elements and a description of how the elements were derived or calculated: … (h) Trading Plan Performance Verification: A description of how the entity will verify and document for each trading project that BMPs are conforming to applicable quality standards and credits are generated as planned; and (i) Tracking and Reporting: A description of 6 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate assumptions consistent with the Counting on the Environment’s standards for verification10. TFT has also included the cost of using a web-based registry system to track and report on progress toward achieving the target thermal reduction, as well as to confirm that projects are in place and meeting quality standards for implementation. Credit Cycle and Program Administration These costs account for labor for registering project credits and publishing required supporting documentation to a publicly available website per trading rules. Costs also cover program management, including client communications; dynamic reprioritization as new projects are added to or removed from the target list or program design elements evolve; relationship building and maintenance with project partners and stakeholders; maintaining project quality control and consistency; program budgeting, tracking, reporting, and invoicing; policy and legal analysis; and adaptive management. Inflation Inflation over a 25-year program adds up. For example, since submitting our Class V riparian shade WQT program price estimate for the MWMC in 2016, there has been 13% cumulative inflation on labor, supplies, and material costs.11 TFT has embedded a 1.5% inflation driver into the overall program price. Inflation was included in the prior estimate, but because the program is slated to start five years after that estimate was submitted and the base costs have increased, the overall impact of inflation has increased since the previous estimate. Classifying Cost Categories In addition to identifying and quantifying key input cost categories, TFT must classify costs as per unit, per acre, per site, or programmatic costs so that they scale up accurately. Some of the costs above, such as program administration, are incurred on a program level and are added as a lump sum element to the program price. Other costs are incurred per site, for example the labor required to write a monitoring report. Such costs increase in direct proportion to the number of sites required to meet a program’s target thermal reduction need. Per-acre cost examples include plant materials and labor to install them, or time needed to monitor along transects to document project performance. However, costs that are calculated to scale with acreage nearly always have a set minimum: costs scale with acreage only after a minimum cost threshold is met. For example, monitoring time spent in the field scales with acreage but only after time is spent planning and traveling to the project and that effort is expended regardless of project size. How these cost classifications are used in program price simulations is described below. B. Simulation of Program Price within Defined Constraints TFT calculates program price by entering all potential projects within the proposed trading area into a mathematical optimization algorithm. This algorithm uses a Monte Carlo method to run repeated simulations to identify feasible project combinations and an associated price. The steps to complete simulations and calculate program price are as follows: (1) Per-acre costs, such as many implementation, maintenance, and monitoring costs, tend to be underestimated for small sites for the reasons described earlier. This presents a risk of underpricing how credit generation, acquisition and usage will be tracked and how this information will be made available to the public.” OAR 340-039-0025(5)(h)-(i). 10 Willamette Partnership. (2013.) Ecosystem Credit Accounting System General Crediting Protocol v 2.0. Nov. 1, 2013. Updated Jan. 2017. The Ecosystem Credit Accounting System and associated quantification methods and tools was developed by the Counting on the Environment process and coordinating team. 11 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI Inflation Calculator, https://www.bls.gov/data/inflation_calculator.htm (used February 2016 as base period, and April 2021 as current period). 7 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate the program if the ultimate population of selected sites is made up of many below average-sized sites. This risk is asymmetrical, in that costs typically scale up more accurately than down due to the entangled fixed costs in these cost categories. To handle this, TFT uses a piece-wise function with a minimum site size of one acre for calculating per-acre costs. This means that for sites that are smaller than one acre, we substitute the site acreage with one acre. We take this approach in lieu of outright eliminating small sites from the data set of potential projects. While small sites are generally not cost-effective, there are certainly exceptions and it would inappropriately skew simulation results if all small sites were eliminated from the analysis. (2) The algorithm then draws a random selection from the population of all potential projects. Random selection reflects that fact that there is no guarantee that landowners with the best sites will be willing to participate in the program as landowner interest is typically independent of site quality. (3) The algorithm selects the most optimal (cost-effective) projects from the random sample until the thermal benefit target is met; selected projects are analogous to “recruited” projects. This optimization step reflects that, during actual program implementation, TFT will target the most efficient thermal benefit-producing projects available because doing so is the most cost-effective way to achieve the Phase I target thermal reduction need. The simulation constrains project recruitment to match real-world rates of landowner recruitment success of 15-25%.12 An assumption implicit in this optimization step is that all optimal projects drawn in the random sample are available for recruitment. (4) The algorithm calculates the price associated with “recruited” projects for that simulation. Because the most optimal projects are chosen for each simulation, the price represents a least-cost scenario. TFT runs 10,000 simulations to model the range of optimal program price outcomes and support a robust understanding of their probability. A new random selection of projects is “recruited” for each simulation. (5) Program-level expenses are added to project-level expenses and then the total is adjusted for inflation to arrive at a least-cost program price for each simulation. (6) TFT then chooses a program price that is one standard-deviation above the mean of the 10,000 simulations of least-cost program price. There are two reasons for this choice: (1) As noted, each simulation of program price represents a least-cost scenario where the “recruited” project portfolio is extremely cost-efficient compared to the average project in the trading area. In actual program implementation, however, it is TFT’s experience that some or many of the optimal projects are not available for implementation, meaning that simulation results tend to represent overly optimistic cost efficiencies that are difficult to achieve in application. (2) Setting the program price one standard-deviation above the mean of the program price distribution is a better reflection of the 12 It is highly unlikely that all “ideal” shade credit projects will be available for implementation. A landowner may not be willing to host a riparian revegetation project, or a project may have on-the-ground characteristics that would make it unsuitable (e.g., soil unsuitable for planting, contamination, existing conservation program or utility easement, local land use law restriction, etc.). TFT therefore constrained recruitment success within reasonable bounds of 15-25% as has been observed in similar programs. To simulate the scenario where 15% of the projects in the program area are available to participate, TFT randomly assigned a value from 0 to 1 to each potential project. All projects with a value less than or equal to 0.15 were added to the pool of “recruitable” projects. These steps were repeated to represent scenarios where up to 25% of projects were recruitable. Information on recruitment that was gathered during the pilot phase was also integrated into all simulations. Specifically, the five shade credit pilot projects already implemented for the MWMC were assigned a recruitment likelihood of 100% and were included in all simulated project portfolios. Other projects that were already known to be ineligible for the program or excluded for other reasons were assigned a recruitment likelihood of 0% and were omitted from all simulations. 8 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate delivery, performance, and deployment risks expected in program implementation, including those associated with climate change and its uncertain impact over the 25-year program duration. CONTRACTING SCENARIOS TFT worked with the MWMC to identify several contracting scenarios that represent different constraints in program price design. Scenarios 1 and 2 are both per-credit price models where the MWMC would purchase fully verified credits for a fixed and all-inclusive per kcal price. Scenario 1 has no annual caps on the number of credits that can be sold to the MWMC whereas Scenario 2 includes an annual cap on available MWMC funding for credit purchases. Scenario 3 represents a more traditional “pay-for-effort” model where labor and credit project expenses are reimbursed as they are incurred. 13 To support comparison across scenarios, TFT calculated a fully loaded price for each scenario, which can then be divided by the Phase I target thermal reduction need to arrive at a $/kcal price. Each scenario and how it was modeled are described further below. Scenario 1: Fully loaded price per credit with all funds available Under this scenario, all implemented credits would be invoiced upon registration without annual caps on the amount of funds available to TFT. This scenario is expected to maximize efficiency because the pace of implementation could proceed according to the natural momentum observed in other programs. Priority projects could be pursued according to the pace at which landowner relationships evolve without the risk of potentially jeopardizing a project with a willing landowner by putting it on hold until new funding becomes available, and without the need to manage stop-start inefficiencies. Price was modeled under this scenario assuming that TFT would need low-cost financing to carry project expenses until reimbursement. Scenario 2: Fully loaded price credit with set annual fund disbursement The second scenario assumes that the MWMC has annual funding caps for each year of the program. As noted under Scenario 1, landowner recruitment and project implementation momentum does not tend to be evenly parsed among years, but rather implementation activity and associated costs tend to be lower in the beginning and end of the program and implementation tends to be higher in program mid-life. The second scenario models program price when funding availability may be constrained. This mismatch of project implementation schedules with the funding release schedule can create a risk of under-recruiting and not meeting the permit compliance schedule, or over-recruiting and bearing costs for the year until reimbursed. However, these risks can be reduced if two important assumptions are met: • In early years where disbursed funds are expected to be greater than costs, TFT is permitted to carry forward the balance to apply in years where funds available are expected to be less than costs. • Credits for the five pilot projects are paid out upon execution of the Phase I Credit Contract, thereby creating funds upfront that allow TFT flexibility to manage some of the recruitment risk. The program price estimate for the scenario with set annual fund disbursement assumes both of the above criteria are met. Not meeting these criteria will change the price estimate reported below. Nonetheless, capped annual fund disbursement is likely to require additional management of landowner relationships: 13 A fourth scenario was originally defined that would provide up-front funds necessary for landowner outreach and recruitment that often occurs a year or more in advance of credit registry. However, TFT did not model a program price specific to this scenario because other funds could be leveraged to create flexibility to pursue recruitment. Specifically, if the MWMC chooses to pay out credits for the five pilot projects upon execution of the contract for Phase 2 Credit Program Implementation, those funds could be used to support outreach and recruitment needed to secure additional credit projects until new projects could be completed and invoiced. 9 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate landowner payments are increased relative to other scenarios to encourage patience with projects that may be put on pause until more funds are made available. The cost of financing to TFT was also increased under the assumption that TFT would need to carry a higher financial burden for longer periods in years when annual project costs outpaced annual funds available (as has happened in TFT’s City of Medford WQT program). Scenario 3: Reimbursement by credit The reimbursement by credit scenario is similar to the model the MWMC used to fund three pilot projects under the State Revolving Fund (SRF). Because this scenario requires detailed cost tracking and invoicing, administrative expenses were modeled at an increased level by increasing program management time and by using consulting labor rates (while the other two scenarios used cost rates for labor). The funding availability is well-matched to the pace of implementation in this scenario and so there is no need to include financing costs. However, this model does not provide the opportunities for efficiency that are available in other scenarios. SIMULATION RESULTS AND PROGRAM PRICE PROPOSAL The simulation results reported below are intended to support the MWMC and TFT in finalizing a Phase I Credit Contract for a shade program that meets the Phase I target thermal reduction need of 440 million (M) kcals/day in October 31st thermal benefits. Table 1 compares program price, price per kilocalorie, and program characteristics (simulated number of acres and projects) for Scenarios 1-3. As noted above, the program price is risk-adjusted, meaning that it is one standard-deviation above the mean of the 10,000 simulations. The distribution of simulated program prices for each scenario is illustrated in Figure 1. All simulations started with the same population of potential projects and so produced similarly shaped distributions of price across contracting scenarios; likewise, selected project portfolios for each scenario had similar planted acreage and numbers of projects. Differences in program price among scenarios therefore primarily reflect differences in the way price was modeled in response to contracting constraints. Very few simulations resulted in an infeasible solution where the target thermal reduction need was not met under the assumptions described earlier (Table 1). Table 1: Program price and simulated program characteristics for each of the Phase I Credit Contract scenarios, based on a Phase I target thermal reduction need of 440 million (M) kcals/day in October 31 thermal benefits. Contracting scenario Program price Price per kcal Simulated planted acres (# projects)a # Optimal solutions # Infeasible solutions Total # simulations Scenario 1: Fully loaded price per credit with all funds available $9,289,206 $0.0211 39 (22) 9,983 17 10,000 Scenario 2: Fully loaded price credit with set annual fund disbursement $9,560,580 $0.0217 39 (22) 9,988 12 10,000 Scenario 3: Reimbursement by credit $12,407,537 $0.0282 39 (22) 9,986 14 10,000 a Simulated results reported in the table are one standard deviation about the mean. The simulated mean for all scenarios was 30 planted acres and 16 projects. 10 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate Figure 2: Distribution of simulated program price for each Phase I Credit Contract scenario, based on a Phase I target thermal reduction need of 440 million (M) kcals/day in October 31 thermal benefits and expected recruitment success of 15-25%. 11 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate Figure 3 (continued): Distribution of simulated program price for each Phase I Credit Contract scenario, based on a Phase I target thermal reduction need of 440 million (M) kcals/day in October 31 thermal benefits and expected recruitment success of 15-25%. CREDIT PRICE AS APPLIED TO FIVE EXISTING PILOT PROJECTS The program price for each scenario above includes all program elements necessary to verify 440 million (M) kcals/day of credits for the 25-year duration of the program. By the end of 2021, however, the MWMC will have already funded TFT to recruit, implement, and register credits in the MWMC’s name for five pilot projects (Table 2).14 14 As noted above, DEQ has traditionally set aside half of the thermal benefits produced by shade projects to account for the temporal lag experienced after the installation of shade-producing riparian trees. A more favorable ratio may be negotiable for existing pilot projects since they have a shorter temporal lag until they produce shade. Trading ratios will be set in the MWMC’s Water Quality Trading Plan. Favorable ratios would mean that fewer thermal benefits produced by existing pilot projects would need to be set aside and pilot projects would produce more credits toward the MWMC’s compliance obligation. 12 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate Table 2: Existing shade credit pilot projects funded by the MWMC. Project name MWMC funding source As-built verification year Planted acres Shade credits (kcals/day; Oct. 31st modeling date) Mill Race RM 2 SRF sponsorship pilot project 2013 1.7 2,452,618 Cedar Creek RM 2.5 SRF sponsorship pilot project 2015 2.0 12,821,403 Cedar Creek RM 4 SRF sponsorship pilot project 2016 2.1 4,835,877 McKenzie RM 24a CPM Task 2A pilot Summer 2021 (planned) ~3 ~17,000,000 - 24,000,000 McKenzie RM 32 a CPM Task 2A pilot Summer 2021 (planned) ~1 ~3,000,000 - 5,000,000 TOTAL ~9.8 ~40,110,000 – 49,110,000 a Project acres and thermal benefits scheduled to be verified in June 2021 and credit registered by December 2021. As suggested by the MWMC, TFT proposes that the program prices above be reduced to account for the funds already invested in producing thermal benefits from the five pilot projects. Specifically, TFT proposes applying the $/kcal price from the chosen scenario above to these projects as follows: (1) Calculate the total price for each existing pilot project based on the $/kcal from the MWMC’s preferred contracting scenario but subtract costs already incurred and reimbursed by the MWMC. Pay out that remainder for these five pilot projects upon initiation of the Phase I Thermal Benefit Contract. (2) Use simple $/kcal price for all new projects implemented after the Phase I Credit Contract is signed. In addition to unifying all MWMC projects under a single contract—which removes complexity of which project elements were already paid versus not—this approach would provide cash flow for TFT to comfortably carry forward with program kickoff without having to worry about upfront “seed” funding. INFLATION RISK IN PRICING As noted above, TFT has embedded an annual 1.5% inflation driver into the overall program price. The risk of inflation has been highlighted recently in the form of considerably higher supply/material costs and labor shortages during the COVID-19 pandemic. To the extent that atypical macroeconomic changes result in considerably higher input costs over the course of this 25-year contract, TFT proposes a contractual inflation adjustment mechanism. As proposed, an adjustment would be triggered if the cumulative impact of inflation, as tracked by the Consumer Price Index-All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) price index for the West Region15, materially deviates from the program assumption of 1.5% annual inflation. 15 https://www.bls.gov/regions/west/news-release/consumerpriceindex_west.htm 13 Phase 2 Program Price Estimate NEXT STEPS This document outlines a proposal for shade credit program implementation for the MWMC that addresses a target thermal reduction need of 440 million kcals/day in October 31st thermal benefits. This proposal is founded on work completed for the MWMC over the last two years to help develop the PWP framework and an advantageous role for the MWMC within it, work with the PWP and other partners within the trading area to scope out and trial partner roles and responsibilities, and refresh the program cost basis to include actual costs and lessons learned from the pilot projects. The results of this analysis are intended to support the MWMC and TFT in finalizing a contract amendment to support implementation of a shade credit program. This program would serve to reflect the MWMC’s commitment to stewardship of the upper Willamette River basin while cost-effectively meeting the MWMC’s compliance needs. Please direct questions, comments and additions to: Olivia Duren Environmental Quality Program Manager 503‐222‐9091 x51 olivia@thefreshwatertrust.org POPLAR MARKETING IMPLEMENTATION MATRIX This Implementation Matrix outlines key tactics to support the promotion and ongoing marketing of Poplar wood products generated by the MWMC Biocycle Farm. The key goal is to build demand for sustainably-farmed poplar among the local and regional building community. Our approach to effective marketing involves dual phases, each directed toward a specific audience: Phase 1: Establish thought leadership through partnerships with the Research/Educator community Creating partnerships with Oregon colleges and universities (along with other institutions and non-profits) can elevate MWMC’s presence and help establish the Biocycle Farm as an innovator in the field. Phase 2: Generate leads, build interest, and (eventually) create demand for poplar among the Architect/Builder community Building awareness of poplar products and promoting the benefits of sustainably-farmed poplar will support ongoing marketing efforts, and can assist with lead generation—identifying a robust customer base for poplar products. This Implementation Matrix is paired with a list of specific contacts in each area. AUDIENCE OBJECTIVES TACTICS SUPPORTING MATERIALS TIMING Researcher/Educator ● Universities ● Institutes ● Advocacy Groups Build Awareness Form Partnerships Create Opportunities Expand Reach Establish relationships with the appropriate contacts List of research contacts Ongoing Meet with faculty/admins to discuss opportunities List of research contacts 6-12 months Sponsor design contests using provided Poplar products Student-directed promotional materials Write ups/photos of projects Year 2 Identify opportunities to speak to classes/groups/clubs Promotional materials Presentation Year 1-2 Conduct research/co-author papers on Poplar farm products N/A Year 2 Promote newsworthy activities through social media and in press Social media posts; press releases Year 2 Attachment 3 - Poplar Marketing Implementation Matrix AUDIENCE OBJECTIVES TACTICS SUPPORTING MATERIALS TIMING Architect/Builder ● Architecture ● Green Building Generate Leads Market Poplar Form Partnerships Establish Thought Leadership Invite industry professionals to tour the Farm (virtually or in-person) List of industry contacts 6-12 months Co-market with building suppliers (Ninewood) Button to place on partner website; co-branded poster; in-store POP displays 9-18 months Create a marketing brochure/leave- behind promoting the benefits of Poplar N/A 9-18 months Partner with environmental groups and non-profit green building advocacy organizations to promote Poplar Co-branded digital collateral; shared social media; etc. Ongoing Place digital/print ads in industry websites and print publications List of industry press Year 2 Provide presentations for associations and industry groups N/A 9-18 months Develop promotional collateral (brochures) for green architect and builders to distribute to their clients N/A Year 2 Local Governments Generate Leads Form Partnerships Meet with local governments to discuss Poplar promotion List of government contacts 6-12 months Identify opportunities to integrate poplar in LEED building construction for municipal buildings 9-18 months AUDIENCE OBJECTIVES TACTICS SUPPORTING MATERIALS TIMING Trade Press (Local/Regional and National) Build Recognition Increase Reach Build Positive Buzz Create a one page fact sheet to help explain Poplar and the Biocycle Farm Fact sheet 6-12 months Create a list of potential topics that could be turned into contributed articles 6 months Reach out to publications and inquire about contributing an article/s on the topics developed List of press contacts Pitch letter/email with topics of interest Ongoing For announcements, write a press release and send to publications inquiring about their interest in covering the topic Press release Ongoing Follow submission guidelines for journals when a research paper is complete Research paper Ongoing Harvester/Planter Form Partnerships Leverage Channels Explore opportunities for co-marketing Year 1-2 Distribute RFI Yearly Miller/Processor Form Partnerships Leverage Channels Explore opportunities for co-marketing Year 1-2 Submit articles to trade press List of industry press Ongoing Distribute RFI Yearly OPINION OF PROBABLE CONSTRUCTION COST KENNEDY/JENKS CONSULTANTS Project:MWMC Class A Recycled Water Facilities Prepared By:JLH Date Prepared:3-Aug-21 Building:Total Project (1.3 MGD Capacity)K/J Proj. No.:2176050*00 MWMC Proj. No.:P80098 Estimate Type: Construction Current at ENR 11,849 Escalated to ENR Mos. to Midpoint 20 SUMMARY BY DIVISION 0 Item No. ITEM DESCRIPTION MATERIALS INSTALLATION SUB- CONTRACTOR (NON ELECTRICAL) SUB- CONTRACTOR (E&I/C) TOTAL 1 Site Work and Yard Piping 426,886 355,558 112,060 894,504 2 Tertiary Filter Pump Station 71,679 46,820 2,000 114,132 234,631 3 UV Disinfection 542,907 174,057 2,000 85,550 804,514 4 Hypo Disinfection Improvments 9,188 3,912 500 10,000 23,600 5 Recycled Water Pumping Station 152,646 77,267 4,000 31,800 265,713 6 Hydropnematic Tank 47,725 15,912 14,666 7,166 85,469 7 Truck Fill Station 63,134 14,011 0 9,860 87,005 8 Electrical Building 36,389 35,064 81,956 13,468 166,877 9 Electrical & Instrumentation 438,540 438,540 10 Seismic Retrofit of HRCCB 450,000 0 450,000 Subtotals 1,350,554 722,601 667,182 710,515 3,450,852 Contractor Indirects 10% 135,055 72,260 66,718 71,052 391,269 Subtotals 1,485,609 794,861 733,900 781,567 3,842,121 Taxes - Materials @ 0.00%0 0 Subtotals 1,485,609 794,861 733,900 781,567 3,842,121 Taxes - Labor @ 0.00%0 0 Subtotals 1,485,609 794,861 733,900 781,567 3,842,121 Contractor OH&P @ 15%222,841 119,229 110,085 117,235 569,391 Subtotals 1,708,451 914,090 843,986 898,802 4,411,511 Estimate Contingency @ 15%661,727 Subtotal 5,073,238 Bonds and Insurance @ 2.5%126,831 Subtotal 5,200,069 Escalation to Mid-Pt of Construction 5.0%433,339 Estimated Bid Price 5,633,408 Market Conditions Contingency 10.0%563,341 Estimated Bid Price 6,196,749 Total Estimate 6,200,000 +15% -5% +15% Total Est. -5% $7,130,000 $6,200,000 $5,890,000 Estimated Range of Probable Cost Conceptual Preliminary (w/o plans) Change Order Design Development @ 60% Complete Estimate Accuracy File: MWMC Class A RW OPCC_60.xlsm Tab: SUMMARY (60) Attachment 4 - Opinion of Probable Construction Cost