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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2011 06 21 Scenerio Planning Greenhouse GasesMEMORANDUM CITY OF SPRINGFIELD DATE OF HEARING: June 21, 2011 TO: Springfield Planning Commission PLANNING COMMISSION TRANSMITTAL FROM: Greg Mott, DSD Planning Manager MEMORANDUM Tom Boyatt, PW Transportation Manager SUBJECT: Introduction to Scenario Planning- Greenhouse Gases ISSUE: THE CITIES OF SPRINGFIELD, EUGENE AND COBURG IN THEIR ROLES AS MEMBERS OF THE CENTRAL LANE METROPOLITAN PLANNING ORGANIZATION (CLMPO) ARE REQUIRED TO PARTICIPATE IN A PROCESS IN WHICH CLMPO MUST DEVELOP TRANSPORTATION AND LAND USE PLANNING SCENARIOS THAT DEMONSTRATE A REDUCTION IN GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS FROM LIGHT MOTOR VEHICLES. THE STATE’S FIVE OTHER MPO’S ARE REQUIRED TO UNDERTAKE THE SAME EFFORT BUT PORTLAND METRO IS THE ONLY MPO THAT MUST ADOPT A SCENARIO PLAN AS A COMPONENT OF ITS COMPREHENSIVE PLAN. IN MAY, IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT LAND CONSERVATION AND DEVELOPMENT COMMISSION (LCDC) WILL ESTABLISH AN EMISSIONS REDUCTION TARGET FOR THE CLMPO AREA OF 20% PER CAPITA BY THE YEAR 2035. CURRENT LEGISLATION DOES NOT REQUIRE THAT THE SCENARIOS MEET THE TARGET, ONLY THAT THE SCENARIO PLANNING PROVIDES THE REGION WITH AN OPPORTUNITY TO EXPLORE WHAT IT MIGHT TAKE TO REACH THE TARGET. THE SCOPE OF THIS PLANNING PROCESS IS NOW UNDER DEVELOPMENT. STAFF WILL PROVIDE PLANNING COMMISSION WITH A GENERAL OVERVIEW OF THE SCENARIO PLANNING REQUIREMENTS, WHAT HAS OCCURRED TO DATE, AND WILL DISCUSS THE CHARACTER AND DESIGN OF POTENTIAL FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS SUBJECT TO THESE SCENARIO PLANS. THIS WORK SESSION IS THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF MEETINGS ON THE TOPIC THAT THE PLANNING COMMISSION CAN EXPECT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL YEARS. DISCUSSION In 2007, the Legislative Assembly adopted strict targets for the reduction of greenhouse gases calling for a reduction from 1990 levels of 75 percent by 2050. In 2009, the Legislative Assembly, as part of the Jobs and Transportation Act required the Portland Metro area to develop at least two planning scenarios to meet those targets with respect to motor vehicles under 10,000 pounds gross vehicle weight and to adopt one of the scenarios into the Metro Cities’ comprehensive plans. At the same time, the Legislative Assembly required the Central Lane Metropolitan Planning Organization (which encompasses Eugene and Springfield) to similarly develop such scenarios, but did not require adoption. In 2010, the Legislative Assembly further required all of the metropolitan planning organizations (MPO) in the state to engage in the scenario planning process, provided that this obligation was dependent upon funding being made available to the MPOs and Cities by the State. Using funds provided by the Oregon Department of Transportation (ODOT), that department and the Department of Land Conservation and Development are engaging in a set of rule making processes to flesh out the scenario planning exercise. One of those processes – to adopt a rule setting specific reduction targets for each metropolitan planning organization, will be considered by the Land Conservation and Development Commission at its May meeting. Staff, including Andrea Riner, Central Lane MPO manager, will provide an overview of the scenario planning requirements that have emerged to date, the draft rule for MPO reduction targets, and the likely future course of the process, which remains in development. ACTION REQUESTED No action is required. This item is for information and discussion only. ATTACHMENTS Attachment 1: Council Briefing Memorandum Attachment 2: Selected portions of House Bill 2001 (2009 Session) Attachment 3: Senate Bill 1059 (2010 Session) Attachment 4: DLCD Presentation on Scenario Planning Attachment 5: Briefing material on Target Rule M E M O R A N D U M City of Springfield Date: 5/2/2011 COUNCIL BRIEFING MEMORANDUM To: Gino Grimaldi From: Len Goodwin, Assistant Public Works Director Greg Mott, Planning Manager Tom Boyatt, Engineering and Transportation Manager Subject: INTRODUCTION TO SCENARIO PLANNING ISSUE: The cities of Springfield, Eugene and Coburg in their roles as members of the Central Lane Metropolitan Planning Organization (CLMPO) are required to participate in a process in which CLMPO must develop transportation and land use planning scenarios that demonstrate a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from light motor vehicles. The state’s five other MPO’s are required to undertake the same effort but Portland Metro is the only MPO that must adopt a scenario plan as a component of its comprehensive plan. In May it is anticipated that Land Conservation and Development Commission (LCDC) will establish an emissions reduction target for the CLMPO area of 20% per capita by the year 2035. Current legislation does not require that the scenarios meet the target, only that the scenario planning provides the region with an opportunity to explore what it might take to reach the target. The scope of this planning process is now under development. Staff will provide Council with a general overview of the scenario planning requirements, what has occurred to date, and will discuss the character and design of potential future developments subject to these scenario plans. This work session is the first in a series of meetings on the topic that the Council can expect over the next several years. COUNCIL GOALS/ MANDATE: Council Goals: Mandate While participation in the scenario planning program is a mandate from the State Legislative Assembly, it also supports the Council Goal of preserving hometown feel, livability and environmental quality. BACKGROUND: In recent years the State Legislative Assembly has taken steps to reduce the impact Oregonians have on climate change. In 2007 the Legislature adopted specific reduction targets for the level of greenhouse gas emissions in general, without any specificity as to the target areas for reduction. Those targets, embodied in House Bill 3543, call for greenhouse gas emissions in 2020 to be 10 percent below 1990 levels and, in 2050, to be 75 percent below 1990 levels. Attachment 1-1 In 2009 the Legislature passed House Bill 2001, the Jobs and Transportation Act of 2009 (JTA). In addition to providing funding for both capital spending and operations of the state and local roads and streets systems, the JTA also includes provisions specifically related to reducing the level of greenhouse gas emissions generated by the light vehicle segment of the transportation sector (vehicles under 10,000 pounds). Among other things, the JTA requires the Land Conservation and Development Commission to adopt rules to set targets for GHG emissions reductions and a schedule for adoption and implementation of land use and transportation planning scenarios. Attachment 2 contains the texts of sections 37, 38, and 38(a) of the JTA which affect the Central Lane Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) and the cities within the MPO, including Springfield. Section 37 of the JTA requires that Metro, the regional land use authority in the Portland metropolitan area, develop at least two land use/transportation planning scenarios that would accommodate planned growth while meeting the area’s legislated greenhouse gas reduction targets. The legislation goes on to require that Metro select and local governments within Metro incorporate into their comprehensive plans, one of those scenarios. Metro and the local governments are not required to do the planning to develop scenarios and select one unless they receive funding to cover the costs of the process, and funding has been identified by the state. We understand that Metro and ODOT have reached an agreement under which Metro will contribute $1.4 million toward an estimated cost of $2.6 million for the first phase of Metro’s work, which includes the work required to develop two or more scenarios. Phases II and III, which cover, respectively, scenario evaluation, selection and adoption, are preliminarily estimated to have a total cost of about $2 million with the apportionment of the cost between Metro and ODOT for the second and third phases to be negotiated later. Section 38 requires that the Central Lane MPO, and its member jurisdictions, undergo the same land use and transportation scenario planning and selection process. Like Metro, CLMPO and its member cities are not required to complete the process unless funding is provided. Funding has not yet been identified. A Finance Report prepared recently presented to the Legislative Assembly suggests that the cost of conducting the planning exercise could range from $200,000 to $1,500,000 for each MPO. Unlike Metro, neither the CLMPO nor the three cities and urban Lane County are required to adopt or to implement a preferred scenario. However the local jurisdictions are required to “cooperatively select” one of the scenarios. In addition, while Metro is required to accomplish its planning process by January 1, 2012, the Central Lane MPO is required to complete the alternative selection process “on or after” January 1, 2013. The JTA also created a process for defining interim targets (for the year 2035). It directed State agencies to cooperate on establishing the level of reductions that could be expected to be achieved by a statewide reduction strategy and to help develop specific targets for reductions from the light vehicle segment of the transportation sector. In the 2010 session, the Legislative Assembly further refined these processes with the passage of Senate bill 1059 (see Attachment 3). In that legislation the State agencies were directed to create specific light vehicle reduction targets for each of the six MPO areas in the state (including Metro). They were also directed to establish guidelines for Attachment 1-2 developing the scenarios, and to prepare a toolkit to assist local governments in developing programs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicles. Finally, SB 1059 directed local jurisdictions within the MPOs to consider what local actions or alterations to regional transportation plans might cause reduced greenhouse gas emissions. The state-developed greenhouse gas reduction target for the Central Lane MPO is a 20% per capita reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from 2005 levels by the year 2035. This target refers only to transportation sector emissions, and only to those attributable to light motor vehicles. This 20% emissions reduction target already includes assumptions made by Oregon DEQ, Oregon Department of Energy, and ODOT, per legislative requirements, regarding fleet technology changes such as conversion to electric vehicles, changes in fuel characteristics, and improved fuel efficiency. Until scenarios are developed and modeled it is unclear how significant changes to land use patterns, transportation systems, and human behavior will need to be in order to meet the identified targets. It is also unclear whether or not the CLMPO jurisdictions will ultimately be required by the State or future legislative action to cooperatively select an alternative that actually meets the 20% per capita light vehicle emissions reduction target. Nor is it clear how projected costs associated with implementing any particular scenario will be covered. Because we are early in the development of the scenario planning process, it is impossible to speculate on how the result of these efforts may impact the City and its citizens, both in the near term and long term. Two key points for consideration are: 1. Although so far the legislative Assembly has been absolutely clear that local governments do not need to move forward with the process in the absence of funding, the details of what constitutes sufficient funding, and the ultimate resolve of the Legislative Assembly to stick with that decision, are both elements of risk. 2. The clear subtext of the debate, to date, has been a focus on the reduction in use of single occupancy vehicles – reducing vehicle miles travelled per capita. The LCDC’s Draft target rule (see Attachment 5) includes assumptions about technological change (such as fleet electrification) in the calculation of the target reductions for each MPO. That suggests that increased density, an increase in the mix of land uses across the metro area, increases in use of transit and other non- vehicular modes, and projects to relieve congestion and address idling will be among the key tools in scenario planning development. Tonight’s discussion is timely because the rule assigning specific reduction targets to each MPO has been drafted and released for public comment. A public hearing was held on April 21, and the rule is slated for potential action on May 19 before the Land Conservation and Development Commission. Andrea Riner, the Central Lane MPO Manager, will participate with staff in the Council’s work session on this topic. She has been deeply involved in the conversations leading up to the draft rule, and can provide valuable insights on what is to be considered for adoption. Ms. Riner has also been regularly participating in several of the other committees with supporting tasks in the development of statewide strategies, scenario planning guidelines, evaluation methods, Attachment 1-3 taff recognizes that much does remain unknown at this time. Many questions cannot s No action is required at this time. This material is only and the greenhouse gas reduction toolkit. As such, she is uniquely qualified to give the Council a first brush insight into what is known at this point. S yet be answered, but we recognize it is vital to remain actively engaged in the processe as they unfold. With Council’s concurrence, we will undertake that task. RECOMMENDED ACTION: for the information of the Council. Attachment 1-4 (c) Interstate 5, southbound, near milepost 241. (d) Interstate 5, northbound, near milepost 281. (e) Interstate 5, southbound, near milepost 281. (f) Interstate 84, eastbound, near milepost 160. (g) Interstate 84, westbound, near milepost 377. (2) Subject to subsection (4) of this section, in carrying out the provisions of subsection (1) of this section, the council may enter into contracts necessary to accomplish the pur- poses of subsection (1) of this section. (3) The department shall maintain ownership of any roadside rest area the council man- ages, maintains and improves under an intergovernmental agreement entered into under subsection (1) of this section. (4) Under the intergovernmental agreement entered into under subsection (1) of this section, the council shall conduct public contracting activities in accordance with the pro- visions of ORS 377.836. SECTION 33.(1) Notwithstanding ORS 366.490, the Travel Information Council shall es- tablish by rule a permit program allowing nonprofit organizations to provide free coffee or other nonalcoholic beverages and cookies at roadside rest areas the council is responsible for under section 32 of this 2009 Act.Cookies offered under the program must come from a li- censed facility. Rules adopted under this section may not restrict the program to any par- ticular days of the year. (2) In lieu of applying to the Department of Transportation for a permit under ORS 366.490, an organization may apply for a permit to provide coffee, other nonalcoholic beverages and cookies at a rest area maintained by the council by submitting a written re- quest to the council. The request shall specify the day on which the organization wishes to offer the nonalcoholic beverages and cookies and the specific rest area where they will be offered. The request shall be submitted not less than 60 days prior to the date requested. (3) The council shall issue a permit to the selected organization not less than 30 days in advance of the date for which the permit is issued. If there is more than one request for the same date and the same place, the council shall select one organization by random drawing and shall issue the permit to that organization. (4) The council may not issue more than one permit for the same time and place. (5) An organization that receives a permit shall confine distribution of coffee, other nonalcoholic beverages or cookies to an area of the rest area designated in the permit or by the rest area attendant. The organization may not obstruct access to any building or other structure in the rest area. (6) An organization providing coffee, other nonalcoholic beverages or cookies may accept donations at the rest area while providing coffee, other nonalcoholic beverages or cookies. (7) An organization may post signs identifying the organization and the activity, provided that each sign is not more than 10 square feet in area and there are not more than two signs.The signs may be placed only on vehicles used in connection with the provision of nonalcoholic beverages and cookies or located in the area designated for the activity. (8) The council may revoke the permit of any organization that fails to comply with the provisions of this section or with rules adopted by the council to implement the provisions of this section. SECTION 34.Sections 32 and 33 of this 2009 Act are repealed January 2, 2020. SECTION 35.(1) The Department of Transportation and the Travel Information Council shall work with the private sector to develop a plan for installing electric motor vehicle re- charging stations at any roadside rest area operated by the council or the department. (2) The department and the council jointly shall report to the House and Senate interim committees related to transportation on the development of the plan. SECTION 36.Section 35 of this 2009 Act is repealed on January 2, 2012. SECTION 37.(1) As used in this section: Enrolled House Bill 2001 (HB 2001-B)Page 7 Attachment 2-1 (a) “Comprehensive plan” has the meaning given that term in ORS 197.015. (b) “Land use regulation” has the meaning given that term in ORS 197.015. (c) “Metropolitan service district” means a metropolitan service district established un- der ORS chapter 268. (2)(a) Except as provided in subsection (5) of this section, on or before January 1, 2012, a metropolitan service district, in accordance with rules adopted under subsection (6) of this section, shall develop two or more alternative land use and transportation scenarios that accommodate planned population and employment growth while achieving a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less. (b) A metropolitan service district, in accordance with rules adopted under subsection (8) of this section, shall select, after public review and comment on the scenarios and in con- sultation with local governments within the jurisdiction of the metropolitan service district, one scenario described in paragraph (a) of this subsection as a part of its planning respon- sibilities under ORS 268.390. (3) Except as provided in subsection (5) of this section, a local government within the jurisdiction of the metropolitan service district shall amend its comprehensive plan and land use regulations implementing the plan to be consistent with the scenario adopted by a met- ropolitan service district in a manner provided by rules adopted under subsection (8) of this section. (4)(a) The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conservation and Development shall provide technical assistance and guidance for the land use and transpor- tation scenarios and local planning described in subsections (2) and (3) of this section. (b) The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conservation and Development shall provide grant support to each government entity required to carry out the provisions of subsections (2) and (3) of this section in amounts sufficient to fully reim- burse the entities for any costs incurred in carrying out the provisions of subsections (2) and (3) of this section. (c) The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conservation and Development shall provide funds for rulemaking, technical assistance and grants under this section from available funds. (5) A metropolitan service district and local governments within the jurisdiction of the district are not required to comply with subsections (2) and (3) of this section unless the district and local governments receive sufficient funds for reimbursement of costs in carry- ing out the provisions of subsections (2) and (3) of this section. (6) On or before June 1, 2011, the Land Conservation and Development Commission, in consultation with the Oregon Transportation Commission, shall adopt rules for metropolitan service districts. The rules must identify each district¢s needed reduction by 2035 in those greenhouse gas emissions caused by motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less, based upon the goals stated in ORS 468A.205 and taking into consid- eration the reductions in vehicle emissions that are likely to result by 2035 from the use of improved vehicle technologies and fuels. On or before March 1, 2011, the Department of Transportation, the Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of En- ergy shall provide the Land Conservation and Development Commission with the information or projections necessary to determine the proposed greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals for 2035. (7) In order to carry out the responsibilities described in subsection (6) of this section: (a) The Department of Transportation shall provide the Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy with an estimate of the vehicle miles traveled in the metropolitan service district in 1990 by motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less, based on available records; Enrolled House Bill 2001 (HB 2001-B)Page 8 Attachment 2-2 (b) The Department of Transportation shall provide the Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy with an estimate of the rate at which new ve- hicles will replace existing vehicles among the vehicles described in paragraph (a) of this subsection; (c) The Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall estimate the greenhouse gas emissions for 1990 for each metropolitan service district re- sulting from the travel by motor vehicles described in paragraph (a) of this subsection, using available records of the average emissions per mile emitted by motor vehicles in 1990 and the estimates provided by the Department of Transportation under paragraph (a) of this sub- section; (d) The Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall estimate the predicted average greenhouse gas emissions by motor vehicles described in paragraph (a) of this subsection predicted to comprise the motor vehicles on the highways in 2035 based on the predicted rate of replacement of the vehicles as described in paragraph (b) of this subsection and based on available reasonable estimates provided by public or pri- vate entities of the improvements in vehicle technologies that will be available for use by 2035; (e) The Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall recommend to the Land Conservation and Development Commission a percentage by which the emissions from motor vehicles described in paragraph (a) of this subsection should be reduced below their estimated 1990 emission levels by 2035 in order to achieve a reduction in emissions from the vehicles as part of the overall achievement of total carbon reduction set for 2050 by ORS 468A.205 and shall explain their reasons for any recommendations other than the midpoint between the 2020 and the 2050 emission reduction targets established by ORS 468A.205; (f) The Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall calculate the estimated miles of travel by motor vehicles described by paragraph (a) of this subsection predicted to be traveled and that may be accommodated in 2035 in each metro- politan service district based on the estimates performed under paragraphs (a) to (d) of this subsection and the recommendation required by paragraph (e) of this subsection; (g) The Department of Transportation, the Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall recommend to the Land Conservation and Development Commission modeling tools or other methods by which a metropolitan service district may adjust the district¢s recommended target number of miles of travel described in paragraph (f) of this subsection to account for additional greenhouse gas emissions resulting from in- creased traffic congestion or reductions in such emissions resulting from measures that re- duce traffic congestion; and (h) On or before March 1, 2011, the Department of Transportation, the Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall submit the information required by paragraphs (a) to (g) of this subsection to the Land Conservation and Develop- ment Commission, including but not limited to citations to sources relied on and calculations made. (8) On or before January 1, 2013, the Land Conservation and Development Commission, in consultation with the Oregon Transportation Commission, shall adopt rules that establish a process for cooperatively selecting a land use and transportation scenario for each metro- politan service district to achieve the greenhouse gas emissions reductions identified in the rules adopted pursuant to subsection (6) of this section and a process for the adoption of regional or local plans to implement the scenario. The rules shall: (a) Identify minimum planning standards for achieving reductions in greenhouse gas emissions through comprehensive plans and transportation system plans; (b) Identify planning assumptions and approaches to meet minimum planning standards identified in paragraph (a) of this subsection that ensure the Department of Land Conser- Enrolled House Bill 2001 (HB 2001-B)Page 9 Attachment 2-3 vation and Development can approve the changes to the regional framework plan, compre- hensive plans and land use regulations implementing the comprehensive plans; (c) Establish a cycle for initial adoption and updating of the transportation and land use scenario required by this section, including planning periods beyond 2035, relating the cycle to periodic review under ORS 197.628 to 197.650 and to urban growth boundary planning under ORS 197.296 or 197.298; and (d) Ensure that local standards and criteria for land uses and for land development and transportation plans that implement the scenarios selected under subsection (2)(b) of this section: (A) Are contained in the amendments to regional framework plans, functional plans, comprehensive plans and land use regulations required by subsections (3) of this section; and (B) Do not have the effect of preventing, discouraging or delaying the implementation of the scenarios, except as necessary to protect the public health and safety. (9) The Land Conservation and Development Commission may extend the deadline for adoption of the rules required under subsection (6) of this section for up to 90 days if the commission determines that the extension will not delay a metropolitan service district¢s completion of land use and transportation scenarios as described in subsection (2) of this section. SECTION 38.(1) As used in this section, “metropolitan service district” means a metro- politan service district established under ORS chapter 268. (2) On or before February 1, 2012, the Department of Land Conservation and Develop- ment and the Department of Transportation shall report to the House and Senate interim committees related to transportation on progress toward implementing the land use and transportation scenario described in section 37 of this 2009 Act.The report must include: (a) The scenarios of a metropolitan service district that are described in section 37 (2) of this 2009 Act; and (b) The rules adopted pursuant to section 37 (6) of this 2009 Act. (3) On or before February 1, 2014, the Land Conservation and Development Commission and the Department of Transportation shall report to the House and Senate interim com- mittees related to transportation on progress toward implementing the land use and trans- portation scenario described in section 37 of this 2009 Act.The report must include: (a) The rules adopted pursuant to section 37 (8) of this 2009 Act; (b) A description of the completed planning and work remaining to be completed; and (c) Recommendations as to how the planning requirements of section 37 of this 2009 Act should be extended to metropolitan planning organizations serving areas with populations of more than 200,000 or to cities located outside the boundaries of metropolitan planning or- ganizations that have significant levels of commuting trips to destinations within the boundaries of a metropolitan planning organization. SECTION 38a.(1) As used in this section, “metropolitan planning organization” has the meaning given that term in ORS 197.629. (2) Except as provided in subsection (6) of this section, on or before July 1, 2013, with the assistance of the Department of Transportation and a metropolitan service district, a met- ropolitan planning organization that serves Eugene and Springfield shall develop modeling and other capabilities needed to perform the planning functions described in subsections (3) and (4) of this section. (3)(a) Except as provided in subsection (6) of this section, on or after January 1, 2013, a metropolitan planning organization that serves Eugene and Springfield, shall develop two or more alternative land use and transportation scenarios that accommodate planned popu- lation and employment growth while achieving a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less. (b) When developing the land use and transportation scenarios described in subsection (a) of this section, the metropolitan planning organization shall take into account the Enrolled House Bill 2001 (HB 2001-B)Page 10 Attachment 2-4 amount of greenhouse emissions, caused by motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less, that need to be reduced in 2035 in order to meet the goals stated in ORS 468A.205.The metropolitan planning organization shall take into consideration the re- ductions in vehicle emissions that are likely to result by 2035 from the use of improved ve- hicle technologies and fuels. (4) The local governments within the boundaries of a metropolitan planning organization that serves Eugene and Springfield shall cooperatively select, after public review and com- ment on the scenarios within the boundaries of the metropolitan planning organization, one scenario described in subsection (3) of this section. (5)(a) The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conservation and Development shall provide technical assistance, grant support and guidance for the land use and transportation scenarios and local planning described in subsections (3) and (4) of this section. (b) Metro, with grant assistance provided by the Department of Transportation, shall make its land use modeling capabilities available to metropolitan planning organizations that lack similar capabilities. (c) The Department of Transportation shall provide funds for rulemaking, technical as- sistance and grants under this section from available funds. (6) A metropolitan planning organization that serves Eugene and Springfield, and local governments within the jurisdiction of the organization, are not required to comply with subsections (2) and (3) of this section unless the organization and local governments receive sufficient funds for reimbursement of costs in carrying out the provisions of subsections (2) and (3) of this section. (7) A metropolitan planning organization that serves Eugene and Springfield shall report: (a) On or before February 1, 2014, to the House and Senate interim committees related to transportation. The report shall include recommendations for a cooperative process of rulemaking and enforcement of the rules. (b) To the Seventy-eighth Legislative Assembly, the manner provided in ORS 192.245, on the implications of implementing the land use and transportation scenario selected under paragraph (a) of this subsection by amendments to the local government¢s comprehensive plan and land use regulations. SECTION 39.Sections 37, 38 and 38a of this 2009 Act are repealed on January 2, 2016. SECTION 40. ORS 801.041 is amended to read: 801.041. The following apply to the authority granted to counties by ORS 801.040 to establish registration fees for vehicles: (1) An ordinance establishing registration fees under this section must be enacted by the county imposing the registration fee and filed with the Department of Transportation. [Any] Notwithstanding ORS 203.055 or any provision of a county charter, the governing body of a county with a population of 350,000 or more may enact an ordinance establishing registration fees [that is enacted by the governing body of a county must be submitted to the electors of the county for their approval.] for the purpose of designing, replacing, acquiring necessary property for, engineering and constructing a bridge and its approach that crosses the Willamette River in the City of Portland. Except for motor vehicles registered as government-owned vehicles under ORS 805.040, the bridge shall be restricted to motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 26,000 pounds or less. The governing body of the county imposing the registra- tion fee shall enter into an intergovernmental agreement under ORS 190.010 with the department by which the department shall collect the registration fees, pay them over to the county and, if necessary, allow the credit or credits described in ORS 803.445 (5). The intergovernmental agree- ment must state the date on which the department shall begin collecting registration fees for the county. (2) The authority granted by this section allows the establishment of registration fees in addition to those described in ORS 803.420. There is no authority under this section to affect registration Enrolled House Bill 2001 (HB 2001-B)Page 11 Attachment 2-5 75th OREGON LEGISLATIVE ASSEMBLY--2010 Special Session Enrolled Senate Bill 1059 Sponsored by Senator COURTNEY (at the request of the Metropolitan Planning Organization Greenhouse Gas Emissions Task Force) (Presession filed.) CHAPTER ................................................. AN ACT Relating to greenhouse gas emissions; limiting expenditures; and declaring an emergency. Be It Enacted by the People of the State of Oregon: SECTION 1.As used in sections 2 to 8 of this 2010 Act, “metropolitan planning organ- ization” has the meaning given that term in ORS 197.629. SECTION 2.(1) The Oregon Transportation Commission, after consultation with and in cooperation with metropolitan planning organizations, other state agencies, local govern- ments and stakeholders, as a part of the state transportation policy developed and main- tained under ORS 184.618, shall adopt a statewide transportation strategy on greenhouse gas emissions to aid in achieving the greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals set forth in ORS 468A.205. The commission shall focus on reducing greenhouse gas emissions resulting from transportation. In developing the strategy, the commission shall take into account state and federal programs, policies and incentives related to reducing greenhouse gas emissions. (2) The commission shall actively solicit public review and comment in the development of the strategy. SECTION 3.(1) The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conser- vation and Development, after consultation with and in cooperation with metropolitan plan- ning organizations, other state agencies, local governments and stakeholders, shall establish guidelines for developing and evaluating alternative land use and transportation scenarios that may reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The guidelines must, at a minimum: (a) Establish a process for developing alternative land use and transportation scenarios; (b) Take into account the full range of actions local governments may take concerning land use and transportation planning; (c) Allow sufficient flexibility for different local governments to meet the needs of their individual communities; (d) Provide for coordination between state agencies and local governments; (e) Encourage local innovation to reduce greenhouse gas emissions; and (f) Provide examples of alternative land use and transportation scenarios. (2) The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conservation and Development shall actively solicit public review and comment in the development of the guidelines. SECTION 4.(1) The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conser- vation and Development, after consultation with and in cooperation with metropolitan plan- ning organizations, local governments and other stakeholders, shall establish a toolkit to Enrolled Senate Bill 1059 (SB 1059-B)Page 1 Attachment 3-1 assist local governments in developing and executing actions and programs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less. (2) A toolkit shall include, but is not limited to, the following material: (a) Information about actions and programs local governments can implement on the local and regional level to reduce greenhouse gas emissions; (b) Information about the potential effectiveness of the actions and programs in reducing greenhouse gas emissions; (c) Information about the cost-effectiveness of the actions and programs; (d) Estimates of the time required to implement the actions and programs; (e) Guidelines for best management practices for analyzing and executing the actions and programs; (f) Modeling and analysis tools that metropolitan planning organizations and local gov- ernments may use to assess greenhouse gas emissions reduction benefits from actions af- fecting land use and transportation; and (g) Educational tools that metropolitan planning organizations and local governments may use to inform the public about greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets and strate- gies. (3) The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conservation and Development shall actively solicit public review and comment in the development of the toolkit. SECTION 5.(1) Except as provided in subsection (3) of this section, on or before June 1, 2011, the Land Conservation and Development Commission, after consultation with and in cooperation with the Oregon Transportation Commission, local governments and metropol- itan planning organizations, shall adopt rules identifying a reduction target for greenhouse gas emissions caused by motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less to be met by each region served by a metropolitan planning organization. The rules must reflect the greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals set forth in ORS 468A.205 and must take into consideration the reductions in vehicle emissions that are likely to result by 2035 from the use of improved vehicle technologies and fuels. The rules must also take into consideration methods of equitably allocating reductions among the metropolitan areas given differences in population growth rates. On or before March 1, 2011, the Department of Transportation, the Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of En- ergy shall provide the Land Conservation and Development Commission with the information or projections necessary to determine the proposed greenhouse gas emissions reduction target for 2035. (2) In order for the Land Conservation and Development Commission to adopt rules pursuant to subsection (1) of this section: (a) The Department of Transportation shall provide the Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy with an estimate of the vehicle miles traveled within the boundaries of each metropolitan planning organization in 1990 by motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less, based on available records. (b) The Department of Transportation shall provide the Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy with an estimate of the rate at which new ve- hicles will replace existing vehicles among the vehicles described in paragraph (a) of this subsection. (c) The Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall estimate the greenhouse gas emissions for 1990 for each region served by a metropolitan planning organization resulting from the travel by motor vehicles described in paragraph (a) of this subsection, using available records of the average emissions per mile emitted by the motor vehicles in 1990 and the estimates provided by the Department of Transportation un- der paragraph (a) of this subsection. Enrolled Senate Bill 1059 (SB 1059-B)Page 2 Attachment 3-2 (d) The Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall estimate the average greenhouse gas emissions in 2035 emitted by motor vehicles described in paragraph (a) of this subsection. The estimate must take into account the motor vehicles that the Department of Transportation predicts will have replaced existing vehicles as de- scribed in paragraph (b) of this subsection. The estimate must be based on available rea- sonable data provided by public or private entities concerning the improvements in vehicle technologies that will be available for use by 2035. (e) The Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall recommend to the Land Conservation and Development Commission a percentage by which the emissions from motor vehicles described in paragraph (a) of this subsection need to be reduced below their 1990 emission levels by 2035 in order to achieve the reduction in emis- sions from vehicles necessary to achieve the total greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals set for 2050 by ORS 468A.205. (f) The Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall calculate the estimated miles of travel by motor vehicles described in paragraph (a) of this subsection that may be accommodated in 2035 by each region served by a metropolitan planning organization based on the estimates performed under paragraphs (a) to (d) of this subsection and the recommendation required by paragraph (e) of this subsection. (g) The Department of Transportation, the Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall recommend to the Land Conservation and Development Commission modeling tools or other methods that each region served by a metropolitan planning organization may use to adjust its recommended number of miles of travel as de- scribed in paragraph (f) of this subsection, to account for additional greenhouse gas emis- sions resulting from increased traffic congestion or reductions in emissions resulting from measures that reduce traffic congestion. (h) On or before March 1, 2011, the Department of Transportation, the Department of Environmental Quality and the State Department of Energy shall submit the information required by paragraphs (a) to (g) of this subsection to the Land Conservation and Develop- ment Commission, including but not limited to citations to sources relied on and calculations made. (3) Subsection (1) of this section does not apply to the region served by the metropolitan planning organization that serves Portland. SECTION 6.The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conserva- tion and Development, after consultation with and in cooperation with other state agencies and the Oregon University System, shall: (1) Educate the public about the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less; and (2) Educate the public about the costs and benefits of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. SECTION 7.(1) As used in this section, “regional transportation plan” means a long- range transportation plan prepared and adopted by a metropolitan planning organization for a metropolitan area as provided for in federal law. (2) Except as provided in subsection (3) of this section, the local governments within the boundaries of a metropolitan planning organization, after consultation with and in cooper- ation with the metropolitan planning organization and state agencies, shall: (a) Consider whether any immediate action can be taken to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. (b) Consider how regional transportation plans could be altered to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. (3) Subsection (2) of this section does not apply to the metropolitan planning organization that serves Portland or to the local governments within that metropolitan planning organ- ization. Enrolled Senate Bill 1059 (SB 1059-B)Page 3 Attachment 3-3 SECTION 8.The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conserva- tion and Development, after consultation with and in cooperation with local governments within the boundaries of a metropolitan planning organization, shall make a joint report to the Seventy-sixth Legislative Assembly in the manner provided in ORS 192.245. The report must provide information regarding the amount of financing that is necessary to cover the costs of local governments in preparing and cooperatively selecting land use and transpor- tation scenarios and the potential sources of funding for this preparation and cooperative selection. SECTION 9.The Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conserva- tion and Development shall make a joint report to the Seventy-seventh Legislative Assembly, in the manner provided in ORS 192.245, regarding: (1) The progress made in developing: (a) The statewide transportation strategy on greenhouse gas emissions adopted by the Oregon Transportation Commission pursuant to section 2 of this 2010 Act; (b) The guidelines established by the Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conservation and Development pursuant to section 3 of this 2010 Act; and (c) The toolkit established by the Department of Transportation and the Department of Land Conservation and Development pursuant to section 4 of this 2010 Act. (2) Recommendations on how to meet the greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets identified in section 5 of this 2010 Act. (3) Whether additional actions or a different framework is necessary to carry out the greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals set forth in ORS 468A.205. SECTION 10.Section 2 of this 2010 Act does not limit the authority of an agency, as de- fined in ORS 183.310, to regulate air contaminants. SECTION 11.Notwithstanding any other law limiting expenditures, the limitation on ex- penditures established by section 2, chapter 652, Oregon Laws 2009, for the biennium begin- ning July 1, 2009, as the maximum limit for payment of expenses from fees, moneys or other revenues, including Miscellaneous Receipts, but excluding lottery funds and federal funds, collected or received by the Department of Land Conservation and Development, is increased by $482,581 for the purpose of carrying out the provisions of sections 3, 4, 5, 6, 8 and 9 of this 2010 Act. SECTION 12.This 2010 Act being necessary for the immediate preservation of the public peace, health and safety, an emergency is declared to exist, and this 2010 Act takes effect on its passage. Enrolled Senate Bill 1059 (SB 1059-B)Page 4 Attachment 3-4 Passed by Senate February 23, 2010 ............................................................................. Secretary of Senate ............................................................................. President of Senate Passed by House February 24, 2010 ............................................................................. Speaker of House Received by Governor: ........................M.,........................................................., 2010 Approved: ........................M.,........................................................., 2010 ............................................................................. Governor Filed in Office of Secretary of State: ........................M.,........................................................., 2010 ............................................................................. Secretary of State Enrolled Senate Bill 1059 (SB 1059-B)Page 5 Attachment 3-5 Scenario Planning and Targets Scenario Planning and Targets for Reducing Greenhouse for Reducing Greenhouse Gas EmissionsGas EmissionsAttachment 4-1 Climate ChangeClimate Change Increase in annual Increase in annual temperaturetemperature Decrease in Decrease in summer water summer water supplysupplyAttachment 4-2 State GHG GoalsState GHG Goals …… to take necessary action to begin reducing to take necessary action to begin reducing greenhouse gas emissions in order to prevent greenhouse gas emissions in order to prevent disruption of Oregondisruption of Oregon’’s economy and quality of lifes economy and quality of life 2010: stop growth of GHG emissions2010: stop growth of GHG emissions 2020: 10% below 1990 levels2020: 10% below 1990 levels 2050: 75% below 1990 levels2050: 75% below 1990 levelsHB 3543 (2007)HB 3543 (2007)Attachment 4-3 Role of Light VehiclesRole of Light VehiclesLight Vehicles 20%Other On-Road Vehicles 7%Other Transportation7%Non-Transportation Sectors 66%……20% of Oregon20% of Oregon’’s GHG emissionss GHG emissionsAttachment 4-4 Major Factors:Major Factors: Population Growth Population Growth ……2035 Goal1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050GHG Emissions……between 1990 and 2035between 1990 and 2035 OregonOregon’’s population will grow roughly 80%s population will grow roughly 80%Attachment 4-5 2035 Goal1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050GHG Emissions……TechnologyTechnology helpshelps……expected improvements in vehicle efficiency,expected improvements in vehicle efficiency, lowlow--carbon fuelscarbon fuelsAttachment 4-6 2035 Goal1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050GHG Emissions…… Other EffortsOther Efforts neededneeded……more is needed to reach 2035 goalmore is needed to reach 2035 goalAttachment 4-7 Oregon Sustainable Oregon Sustainable Transportation InitiativeTransportation Initiative (HB 2001 & SB 1059)(HB 2001 & SB 1059)State / Metropolitan Partnership:State / Metropolitan Partnership: Statewide Transportation StrategyStatewide Transportation Strategy Metropolitan Scenario Planning Metropolitan Scenario Planning Attachment 4-8 Statewide Transportation StrategyStatewide Transportation Strategy Who & What:Who & What: ODOT and OTCODOT and OTC For the entire stateFor the entire state To address all transportation modesTo address all transportation modes Recommends: Recommends:  Incentives for alternative modesIncentives for alternative modes Policies for reducing GHGPolicies for reducing GHG Changes to transportation fundingChanges to transportation funding New programsNew programs Results:Results: Defines state role in reducing GHGDefines state role in reducing GHG Sets foundation for scenario planningSets foundation for scenario planningAttachment 4-9 Metropolitan Scenario PlanningMetropolitan Scenario Planning What would it take What would it take ……?? Who & What:Who & What: Metropolitan areasMetropolitan areas Figure out what it would take to meet targets Figure out what it would take to meet targets  Explores:Explores: Land use and transportation optionsLand use and transportation options Combination of actions which work bestCombination of actions which work best Results: Results:  Preferred alternative/conceptPreferred alternative/concept Informs LegislatureInforms Legislature Informs local plan updatesInforms local plan updatesAttachment 4-10 What Will Scenarios Look Like?What Will Scenarios Look Like? Integrated Packages ofIntegrated Packages of Land Use and Transportation MeasuresLand Use and Transportation MeasuresAttachment 4-11 Land UseLand Use Emphasize Low GHG DevelopmentEmphasize Low GHG Development More infill and More infill and redevelopment in redevelopment in centers and corridorscenters and corridors More mixed use and More mixed use and transit oriented transit oriented developmentdevelopment Higher densities for Higher densities for new developmentnew development Reduced UGB Reduced UGB expansionexpansionAttachment 4-12 TransportationTransportation Expand Low GHG OptionsExpand Low GHG Options Incentives for using alternative modes and Incentives for using alternative modes and low GHG vehicleslow GHG vehicles Complete pedestrian and bike networksComplete pedestrian and bike networks TransitTransit Parking management Parking management Attachment 4-13 Benefits of Scenario PlanningBenefits of Scenario PlanningMeet changing housing needsReduce household transportation costsExpand economic opportunities for Oregon communitiesSupport healthy, active lifestyles Attachment 4-14 Building on Existing EffortsBuilding on Existing EffortsAttachment 4-15 Scenario PlanningScenario Planning ScheduleSchedule Portland metro area Portland metro area  Prepare two scenarios by 2012Prepare two scenarios by 2012 Select preferred scenario by 2014Select preferred scenario by 2014 EugeneEugene--Springfield metro areaSpringfield metro area Prepare two scenarios after 2013Prepare two scenarios after 2013 Select preferred scenario by 2014Select preferred scenario by 2014 Other metro areasOther metro areas Not required to do scenario planningNot required to do scenario planningAttachment 4-16 State AssistanceState Assistance Financing ReportFinancing Report(submitted February 1)(submitted February 1) Scenario Planning GuidelinesScenario Planning GuidelinesStepStep--byby--step guidestep guide GHG Reduction ToolkitGHG Reduction ToolkitList of programs and actions for reducing List of programs and actions for reducing GHGsGHGsAttachment 4-17 Next StepsNext Steps March 1:March 1: Agencies Technical ReportAgencies Technical Report March 30:March 30: TRAC recommendationsTRAC recommendations April 20April 20––21 & May 19:21 & May 19: LCDC LCDC hearings & adoption of targetshearings & adoption of targetsAttachment 4-18 Oregon John A. Kitzhaber, M.D., Governor Department of Land Conservation and Development 635 Capitol Street NE, Suite 150 Salem, Oregon 97301-2540 Phone: (503) 373-0050 Fax: (503) 378-5518 www.oregon.gov/LCD April 7, 2011 TO: Land Conservation and Development Commission FROM: Jerry Lidz, Acting Director Robert Cortright, Transportation Planning Coordinator SUBJECT: Agenda Item 4, April 21-22, 2011 LCDC Meeting PUBLIC HEARING ON PROPOSED ADMINISTRATIVE RULE IDENTIFYING METROPOLITAN GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSION REDUCTION TARGETS I. AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY The commission will conduct a public hearing to receive comments on a proposed administrative rule establishing targets for reductions in greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicles in the state’s metropolitan areas. Two bills, House Bill 2001 (2009) and Senate Bill 1059 (2010), direct the commission to adopt emission reduction targets by June 1, 2011. This staff report transmits the recommendations from the Target Rulemaking Advisory Committee (TRAC). For additional information, contact Bob Cortright at 503-373-0050, ext. 241, or bob.cortright@state.or.us. II. SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDED ACTION The proposed rule identifies greenhouse gas reduction targets that metropolitan areas are to use as they conduct land use and transportation scenario planning to reduce emissions resulting from light vehicle travel. The proposed targets call for reductions of 18 to 25 percent per capita by the year 2035 to support achieving the state’s long-term goal to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 75 percent below 1990 levels by the year 2050. The department recommends that the commission receive public testimony and provide direction to the department in anticipation of commission deliberation and adoption of a target rule at the commission’s May 19, 2011 meeting. The commission should also decide whether TRAC should meet before the commission’s May 19th meeting to consider any unresolved issues. Attachment 5-1 Agenda Item 4 April 21-22, 2011 – LCDC Meeting Page 2 of 4 III. BACKGROUND SB 1059 and HB 2001 direct the commission to adopt rules that set targets for metropolitan areas to plan for reductions in GHG emissions from light vehicles (cars and light trucks). Both bills anticipate that local governments in metropolitan areas will engage in land use and transportation scenario planning to evaluate and select a preferred scenario for achieving the adopted targets. HB 2001, which applies primarily to the Portland Metropolitan area, requires development and adoption of scenario plans. SB 1059, which applies to the state’s other five metropolitan areas, anticipates but does not require preparation of scenario plans. Targets and metropolitan scenario planning are part of a statewide effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from the transportation sector and to meet the state’s long-term goal to reduce statewide greenhouse gas emissions to 75 percent below 1990 levels by the year 2050. In June 2010, the commission approved establishment of a rulemaking advisory committee to provide recommendations on setting targets and developing administrative rule language. TRAC met seven times between September and March to review legislative requirements and technical information, and to develop rule recommendations. On March 30, TRAC members reached consensus on recommended targets for each of the six metropolitan areas. TRAC members also reached consensus on recommended rule language and a report and recommendations to the commission. The proposed target rule and TRAC’s report to the commission are included as Attachments 1 & 2 to this report. IV. DEPARTMENT ANALYSIS Issues related to setting targets and target rulemaking are discussed in detail in the report from TRAC provided in Attachment 2. The department supports the analysis and recommendations provided in the TRAC report. V. DECISION MAKING CRITERIA AND PROCEDURES The proposed rules must be consistent with the provisions of ORS Chapter 196, 197, 183, and the Attorney General’s Model Rules of Procedure. Adoption of target rules is also guided by provisions of HB 2001 and SB 1059. In brief, the two statutes require that the metropolitan emission reduction targets:  Must be consistent with achieving Oregon’s greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals;  Must be for 2035;  Must be for light vehicle travel;  May be different for each metropolitan area;  Must equitably allocate responsibility for meeting targets considering differences in population growth rates; Attachment 5-2 Agenda Item 4 April 21-22, 2011 – LCDC Meeting Page 3 of 4  Must consider expected improvements in vehicle technologies and fuels; and   Should be informed by the information and recommendations from the ODOT, DEQ and the Oregon Department of Energy. HB 2001 and SB 1059 include substantially similar directions for adoption of target rules. HB 2001 guides setting targets for the Portland Metropolitan area: On or before June 1, 2011, the Land Conservation and Development Commission, in consultation with the Oregon Transportation Commission, shall adopt rules for metropolitan service districts. The rules must identify each district’s needed reduction by 2035 in those greenhouse gas emissions caused by motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less, based upon the goals stated in ORS 468A.205 and taking into consideration the reductions in vehicle emissions that are likely to result by 2035 from the use of improved vehicle technologies and fuels. … (HB 2001 Section 37(6)) SB 1059 guides target setting for the state’s other five metropolitan areas (Eugene-Springfield, Salem-Keizer, Rogue Valley, Bend and Corvallis): …. on or before June 1, 2011, the Land Conservation and Development Commission, after consultation with and in cooperation with the Oregon Transportation Commission, local governments and metropolitan planning organizations, shall adopt rules identifying a reduction target for greenhouse gas emissions caused by motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less to be met by each region served by a metropolitan planning organization. The rules must reflect the greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals set forth in ORS 468A.205 and must take into consideration the reductions in vehicle emissions that are likely to result by 2035 from the use of improved vehicle technologies and fuels. The rules must also take into consideration methods of equitably allocating reductions among the metropolitan areas given differences in population growth rates. … (SB 1059, Section (5)) These statutory requirements are presented and addressed in the recommendations provided by TRAC in its report to the commission. (Attachment 2, see pages 12-22). VI. DEPARTMENT RECOMMENDATION The department recommends that the commission receive public testimony and provide direction to the department about any issues the commission wants staff to address before the commission’s May 19 meeting, so that the commission can adopt the rule at that meeting, before the statutory deadline for adoption of targets of June 1, 2011. In identifying issues to be addressed, the commission should also determine whether it would like additional review or recommendations from TRAC. TRAC is prepared to meet again in advance of the May 19 meeting if the commission would like additional comments or recommendations. The department has identified the following options for commission action at the April meeting: (1) Close the public hearing on the proposed rule and reserve time at the May 19 meeting for commission deliberation and rule adoption; Attachment 5-3 Agenda Item 4 April 21-22, 2011 – LCDC Meeting Page 4 of 4 (2) Close the public hearing but allow additional time for interested persons to submit written comments in advance of the May 19 meeting. If this option is selected, the department recommends setting May 2 as a closing date for additional written comments, to allow the department time to respond to the comments and prepare options for the commission’s consideration at its May 19 meeting; (3) Continue the public hearing to allow additional public testimony at the May 19 meeting. If the commission selects this option, the department recommends that the commission identify specific issues on which it would like to receive additional testimony in order to facilitate commission deliberation and allow adoption of the target rule at the May meeting; (4) Combined with either option (2) or (3), request additional recommendation(s) from TRAC. If the commission selects this option, the department recommends that the commission identify specific issues or questions to be addressed by TRAC. (TRAC has reserved May 3 as a possible meeting date to allow further discussion if the commission so chooses.) ATTACHMENTS 1. Proposed Administrative Rule Metropolitan Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Targets 2. TRAC Report – Target Rulemaking Advisory Committee Recommendations on Greenhouse Gas Reduction Targets 3. Statement of Need, Economic and Fiscal Impact 4. Agencies’ Technical Report, March 1, 2011 Attachment 5-4 DRAFT—PROPOSED NEW RULES April 1, 2011 Developed by the Target Rulemaking Advisory Committee for consideration by the Land Conservation and Development Commission at a public hearing on April 21, 2011 DIVISION 44 METROPOLITAN GREENHOUSE GAS REDUCTION TARGETS 660-044-0000 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 13 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Purpose (1) This division implements provisions of Oregon Laws 2010, chapter 85, section 5(1) and 3 Oregon Laws 2009, chapter 865, section 37(6) that direct the Land Conservation and Development Commission (Commission) to adopt rules setting targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel for each of the state’s metropolitan areas for the year 2035 to aid in meeting the state goal in ORS 468A.205 to reduce the state’s greenhouse gas emissions in 2050 to 75 percent below 1990 levels. (2) The targets in this division provide guidance to local governments in metropolitan areas on 9 the level of reduction in greenhouse gas emissions to achieve as they conduct land use and transportation scenario planning. Land use and transportation scenario planning to meet the targets in this division is required of the Portland metropolitan area and is encouraged, but not required, in other metropolitan areas. (3) Land use and transportation scenario planning is intended to be a means for local 14 governments in metropolitan areas to explore ways that urban development patterns and transportation systems would need to be changed to achieve significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel. Scenario planning is a means to address benefits and costs of different actions to accomplish reductions in ways that allow communities to assess how to meet other important needs, including accommodating economic development and housing needs, expanding transportation options and reducing transportation costs. (4) The expected result of land use and transportation scenario planning is information on the 22 extent of changes to land use patterns and transportation systems in metropolitan areas needed to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emission reductions from light vehicle travel in metropolitan areas, including information about the benefits and costs of achieving those reductions. The results of land use and transportation scenario planning are expected to inform local governments as they update their comprehensive plans and to inform the legislature, state agencies and the public as the state develops and implements an overall strategy to meet state goals to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -1- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-5 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES (5) The greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in this division are intended to guide an 1 initial round of land use and transportation scenario planning over the next two to four years. The targets are based on available information and current estimates about key factors, including improvements in vehicle technologies and fuels. The Commission will review the targets by 2015, based on updated information about expected changes in vehicle technologies and fuels, state policies and other factors and to consider results of scenario planning. 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 19 20 21 22 23 (6) Success in meeting the targets will require a combination of local regional, and state 8 actions. State actions include not only improvements in vehicle technology and fuels, but also other statewide efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel. These efforts – which are programs and actions to be implemented at the state level - are currently under review by the Oregon Department of Transportation as part of its Statewide Transportation Strategy to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. As metropolitan areas develop scenario plans to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and compare them to the targets in this division, it is incumbent that the metropolitan area and the state work as partners, with a shared responsibility of determining how local and statewide actions and programs can reach the targets. (7) Nothing in this division is intended to amend statewide planning goals or administrative 18 rules adopted to implement statewide planning goals. 660-044-0005 Definitions For the purposes of this division, the definitions in ORS 197.015 and the statewide planning goals apply. In addition, the following definitions shall apply: 24 25 26 27 “1990 baseline emissions” means the estimate of greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel in each metropolitan area for the year 1990, as presented by the Department of Environmental Quality and the Oregon Department of Energy included in the Agencies’ Technical Report. 28 29 “2005 emissions levels” means an estimate of greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel in a metropolitan area for the year 2005. 30 31 32 33 34 “2035 greenhouse gas emission reduction goal” means the percentage reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel in a metropolitan area needed by the year 2035 in order to meet the state goal of a 75 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 levels by the year 2050 as recommended by the Department of Environmental Quality and the Oregon Department of Energy in the Agencies’ Technical Report. “Agencies’ Technical Report” means the report prepared by the Oregon Department of Transportation, the Department of Environmental Quality and the Oregon Department of Energy and submitted to the Commission on March 1, 2011, that provides information and estimates 35 36 37 Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -2- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-6 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES 1 2 3 about vehicle technologies and vehicle fleet to support adoption of greenhouse gas reduction targets as required by Oregon Laws 2010, chapter 85, section 5(2) and Oregon Laws 2009, chapter 865, section 37(7). “Greenhouse gas” means any gas that contributes to anthropogenic global warming including, but not limited to, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, perfluorocarbons and sulfur hexafluoride. (ORS 468A.210(2)) Greenhouse gases are generally measured in terms of CO 4 5 6 7 . 8 2 equivalents – CO2e – which means the quantity of a given greenhouse gas multiplied by a global warming potential factor provided in a state-approved emissions reporting protocol 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 “Greenhouse gas emissions reduction target” or “target” means the percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel within a metropolitan area from 2005 emission levels that is to be achieved by the year 2035. Greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets are expressed as a percentage reduction in emissions per capita from 2005 emissions levels but not including reductions in vehicle emissions that are likely to result by 2035 from the use of improved vehicle technologies and fuels as set forth in Tables 1 and 2 of OAR 660-044-0010. 16 17 18 19 “Greenhouse gas emissions reduction toolkit” means the toolkit prepared by the Oregon Department of Transportation and the Department to assist local governments in developing and executing actions and programs to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel in metropolitan areas as provided in Oregon Laws 2010, chapter 85, section 4. 20 21 22 23 24 25 “Land use and transportation scenario planning” means the preparation and evaluation by local governments of two or more land use and transportation scenarios and the cooperative selection of a preferred scenario that accommodate planned population and employment growth while achieving a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel in the metropolitan area. Land use and transportation scenario planning may include preparation and evaluation of alternative scenarios that do not meet targets specified in this division. 26 27 “Light vehicles” means motor vehicles with a gross vehicle weight rating of 10,000 pounds or less. 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 “Light vehicle travel within a metropolitan area” means trips made by light vehicles that begin and end within a metropolitan planning area and that portion of other trips made by light vehicles that occurs within a metropolitan planning area, including a portion of through trips (i.e. trips that pass through a metropolitan planning area but do not begin or end there) and that a portion of other light vehicle trips that begin or end within a metropolitan planning area. Trips and portions of trips that are within a metropolitan planning area are illustrated by solid lines as shown in Figure 1. Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -3- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-7 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES 1 2 3 “Metropolitan planning area” or “metropolitan area” means lands within the boundary of a metropolitan planning organization as of the effective date of this division. 4 5 6 7 8 9 “Metropolitan planning organization” means an organization located wholly within the State of Oregon and designated by the Governor to coordinate transportation planning in an urbanized area of the state pursuant to 49 U.S.C. 5303(c). ORS 197.629(7). Included are metropolitan planning organizations for the following areas: the Portland metropolitan area, the Bend metropolitan area, the Corvallis metropolitan area, the Eugene-Springfield metropolitan area, the Salem-Keizer metropolitan area and the Rogue Valley metropolitan area. 10 11 12 13 “Scenario planning guidelines” means the guidelines established by the Oregon Department of Transportation and the Department to assist local governments in conducting land use and transportation scenario planning to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel in metropolitan areas as provided in Oregon Laws 2010, chapter 85, section 3. 14 15 16 17 “Statewide Transportation Strategy” means the statewide strategy adopted by the Oregon Transportation Commission as part of the state transportation policy to aid in achieving the greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals set forth in ORS 468A.205 as provided in Oregon Laws 2010, chapter 85, section 2. Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -4- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-8 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES 660-044-0010 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Target Setting Process and Considerations (1) This rule describes information and factors that provide the basis for greenhouse gas emission reduction targets included in this division. The purpose of this rule is to inform local governments and the public about information that was relied upon to set greenhouse gas emission reduction targets, to inform local governments as they conduct land use and transportation scenario planning and to inform the Department of Land Conservation and Development (Department) and Commission in the review and evaluation of greenhouse gas emission reduction targets as required in OAR 660-044-0035. (2) Oregon Laws 2010, chapter 85, section 5(1) and Oregon Laws 2009, chapter 865, section 37(6) direct the Commission to adopt rules identifying greenhouse gas emission reduction targets for emissions caused by light vehicles for each of the state’s metropolitan areas. These statutes direct that the rules must reflect greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals set forth in ORS 468A.205 and must take into consideration the reductions in vehicle emissions that are likely to result by 2035 from the use of improved vehicle technologies and fuels. The statutes also direct that the rules must take into consideration methods of equitably allocating reductions among the metropolitan areas given differences in population growth rates. The Commission has addressed these statutory considerations as follows: (a) Reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel needed in 2035 to achieve the state goal of a 75 percent greenhouse gas reduction by 2050. Based on recommendations from the Department of Environmental Quality and the Oregon Department of Energy in the Agencies’ Technical Report, the Commission concludes that a reduction of 52 percent in greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel in metropolitan areas from 1990 levels is needed by the year 2035 to support achieving greenhouse gas emissions reduction goals for 2050 set forth in ORS 468A.205. This percentage reduction assumes steady year by year progress through 2050 in reducing emissions and that the reduction in light vehicle emissions will be proportionate to the overall state goal for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. In reaching this conclusion, the Commission notes that absent a statewide transportation strategy and plan for achieving greenhouse gas emission reductions there is no policy or other basis at this time for assuming that light vehicle travel in metropolitan areas should be responsible for a larger or smaller share of expected statewide greenhouse gas emission reductions. (b) Consideration of reductions in vehicle emissions likely to result by 2035 from use of improved vehicle technologies and fuels. (i) The Commission has considered recommendations from the Oregon Department of Transportation, the Department of Environmental Quality and the Oregon Department of Energy about expected changes to the light vehicle fleet, vehicle technologies and vehicle fuels through the year 2035 as set forth in the Agencies’ Technical Report. The Commission notes that the Agencies’ Technical Report indicates considerable uncertainty and a broad range of possible outcomes for Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -5- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-9 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 each of the relevant factors. The Commission concludes that a midpoint in the range of plausible fleet, technologies and fuel outcomes provides a reasonable basis for greenhouse gas emission reduction targets to guide an initial round of land use and transportation scenario planning. The baseline assumptions for 2035 light vehicle fleet, light vehicle technologies and vehicle fuels are for each metropolitan area are set forth in Tables 1 and 2. Table 1. Baseline Assumptions for Vehicle Technologies for use in Land Use and Transportation Scenario Planning Vehicle Technologies Characteristic 2005 Model Year1 2035 Model Year2 Auto fuel economy—internal combustion engine 28 mpg 68 mpg Light truck fuel economy—internal combustion engine 20 mpg 48 mpg Auto fuel economy—plug-in hybrids in charge sustaining mode — 81 mpg Light truck fuel economy—plug-in hybrids in charge sustaining mode — 56 mpg % of autos that are plug-in hybrids or electric vehicles — 8% % of light trucks that are plug-in hybrids or electric vehicles — 2% Plug-in hybrids battery range — 35 miles Electric vehicles battery range — 175 miles Vehicle Fuels3 Characteristic 2005 2035 % reduction in fuel carbon intensity from current levels — 20% Electric power sources compared to current Renewable Portfolio Standard — Meet Vehicle Fleet4 Characteristic 2005 2035 Average vehicle replacement rate 10 years 8 years 1 Email from Brian Gregor, Oregon Department of Transportation, Transportation Planning Analysis Unit, “RE: 1990 and 2005 technology values,” 3/15/11. 2 Agencies’ Technical Report, Table 1: Vehicle Technology Alternatives by 2035 and Table A-4: Key Technology Characteristics Assumed for 2035 Model Year. Technology Level 3. 3 Agencies’ Technical Report, Table 1: Vehicle Technology Alternatives by 2035. Technology Level 3. 4 Agencies’ Technical Report, Table 4: Rate of Vehicle Replacement and Table A.2: Key Vehicle Fleet Characteristics. 2005 and Fleet Level 3. Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -6- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-10 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES Table 2. Additional Metropolitan Area Assumptions for use in Land Use and Transportation Scenario Planning 1 2 % of Fleet that are Light Trucks5 Light Vehicle Emission Rates (grams CO2e per mile)6 Metropolitan Area 2005 2035 2005 2035 Bend 55% 36% 513 180 Corvallis 45% 30% 494 174 Eugene-Springfield 47% 31% 503 173 Portland Metro 43% 29% 514 184 Rogue Valley 50% 34% 507 181 Salem-Keizer 47% 31% 510 177 Weighted Average — — 511 182 (ii) The greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in this division are for greenhouse gas emission reductions to be met through land use and transportation scenario planning and are in addition to reductions estimated to result from changes to the light vehicle fleet, light vehicle technologies and light vehicle fuels in Tables 1 and 2. 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 (iii) In evaluating whether a proposed land use and transportation scenario combined with actions and programs included in the Statewide Transportation Strategy meets greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in this division, a local government or metropolitan planning organization may include: a. Policies or actions included in the Statewide Transportation Strategy that the Oregon Department of Transportation estimates are likely to result in changes to vehicle fleet, technologies or fuels above and beyond the values listed in Tables 1 and 2; b. Local or regional programs or actions identified in a land use and transportation scenario plan that are likely to result in changes to vehicle fleet, technologies or fuels above and beyond the values listed in Tables 1 and 2. One example of such an action would be a local or regional program that is estimated to result in adoption of hybrid or electric vehicles in a metropolitan area at greater than the eight percent statewide assumption for the 2035 model year provided in Table 1; and, 5 Agencies’ Technical Report, Table 2: Light Trucks as a Percentage of Overall Fleet Mix and Table A.2: Key Vehicle Fleet Characteristics. 2005 and Fleet Level 3. 6 Agencies’ Technical Report, Table 6: 2035 Emission Rates by Region with Implementation of Vehicle Technology and Fleet Mix Alternatives and Table A.5: Estimated Light Vehicle GHG Emission Rates; revised and expanded in “Summary Calculations for Agencies Technical Report,” Brian Gregor, 3/18/11, Input 3-2035EmissionRates, Table 3: GreenSTEP Model Estimates of Average Vehicle Emission. 2005 and Technology Level 3, Fleet Level 3. Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -7- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-11 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 c. Policies or actions included in the Statewide Transportation Strategy, other than those attributable to changes in vehicle fleet, technologies or fuels. Examples of such an action would be increased inter-city transit or pay-as- you-drive insurance. The Oregon Department of Transportation would coordinate with local governments and metropolitan planning organizations in each metropolitan area on estimating the amount of greenhouse gas emissions reductions expected to result within the metropolitan area from these programs and actions. (c) Equitable allocation of responsibility for greenhouse gas emission reductions among 9 metropolitan areas considering differences in population growth rates. The greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in this division are in the form of percentage reductions in emissions per capita. The greenhouse gas emission reduction targets for individual metropolitan areas range from 18 percent to 25 percent per capita. The Commission concludes that setting the targets in the form of per capita reductions and adoption of comparable per capita reductions for each of the state’s six metropolitan areas assures that those metropolitan areas that are expected to experience higher than average rates of population growth between 1990 and 2035 do not bear a greater responsibility for emission reductions than metropolitan areas that are expected to grow more slowly. (d) Use of 2005 as a reference year for greenhouse gas emission reduction targets. The greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in this division are set forth as reductions to be achieved from 2005 emission levels. 2005 is specified as a reference year for greenhouse gas reduction targets because more detailed data on emissions and light vehicle travel in metropolitan areas is available for this date than for 1990, and because it corresponds better with adopted land use and transportation plans and will thus enable local governments to better estimate what changes to land use and transportation plans might be needed to achieve greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets. While the targets are specified as reductions from 2005 emission levels, the targets have been set at a level that corresponds to the required reduction from 1990 levels to be achieved by 2035. 660-044-0020 Greenhouse gas emissions reduction target for the Portland metropolitan area (1) Purpose and effect of targets (a) Metro shall use the greenhouse gas emission reduction targets set forth in subsection (3) of this rule as it develops two or more alternative land use and transportation scenarios that accommodate planned population and employment growth while achieving a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel in the metropolitan area as required by Oregon Laws 2009, chapter 865, section 37(6). Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -8- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-12 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES (b) This rule does not require that Metro or local governments in the Portland metropolitan 1 area select a preferred scenario or amend the Metro regional framework plan (as defined in ORS 197.015(16)), functional plans, comprehensive plans or land use regulations to meet targets set in this rule. Requirements for cooperative selection of a preferred land use and transportation scenario and for implementation of that scenario through amendments to comprehensive plans and land use regulations as required by Oregon Laws 2009, chapter 865, section 37(8) will be addressed through a separate rulemaking that the Commission is required to complete by January 1, 2013. 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 (2) This rule applies to the Portland metropolitan area. (3) The greenhouse gas emission reduction target for the Portland metropolitan area is a 21 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in the year 2035 below year 2005 emissions levels. (4) The greenhouse gas emission reduction target in subsection (3) of this rule identifies the level of greenhouse gas emission reduction to be met through land use and transportation scenario planning consistent with baseline assumptions and guidance in OAR 660-044-0010(2)(b)(i)- (iii), including reductions expected to result from actions and programs identified in the Statewide Transportation Strategy. 660-044-0025 Greenhouse gas emissions reduction targets for other metropolitan areas (1) Purpose and effect of targets (a) Local governments in metropolitan planning areas listed in subsection (2) of this rule may use the relevant targets set forth in subsection (3) of this rule as they conduct land use and transportation scenario planning to reduce expected greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel in the metropolitan planning area. (b) This rule does not require that local governments or metropolitan planning organizations conduct land use and transportation scenario planning. This rule does not require that local governments or metropolitan planning organizations that choose to conduct land use or transportation scenario planning develop or adopt a preferred land use and transportation scenario plan to meet targets in subsection (3) of this rule. (2) This rule applies to the following metropolitan planning areas: (a) Bend, (b) Corvallis, (c) Eugene-Springfield, Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -9- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-13 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 (d) Rogue Valley, and (e) Salem-Keizer. (3) Targets (a) The greenhouse gas emissions reduction target for the Bend metropolitan planning area is a 25 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in the year 2035 below year 2005 emissions levels. (b) The greenhouse gas emissions reduction target for the Corvallis metropolitan planning area is a 23 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in the year 2035 below year 2005 emission levels. (c) The greenhouse gas emissions reduction target for the Eugene-Springfield metropolitan planning area is a 21 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in the year 2035 below year 2005 emission levels. (d) The greenhouse gas emissions reduction target for the Rogue Valley metropolitan planning area is a 24 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions in the year 2035 below year 2005 emission levels. (e) The greenhouse gas emissions reduction target for the Salem-Keizer metropolitan planning area is an 18 percent reduction in greenhouse emissions in the year 2035 below year 2005 emission levels. (4) The greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in subsection (3) of this rule identify the level of greenhouse gas emission reduction to be met through land use and transportation scenario planning consistent with baseline assumptions and guidance in OAR 660-044-0010(2)(b)(i)- (iii), including reductions expected to result from actions and programs identified in the Statewide Transportation Strategy. 660-044-0030 Methods for estimating greenhouse gas emissions and emission reductions (1) Local governments conducting land use and transportation scenario planning to meet greenhouse gas emission reductions targets established in this division may use information and methods for estimating greenhouse gas emissions levels from light vehicle travel recommended by the Oregon Department of Transportation and the Department as set forth in the greenhouse gas emissions reduction toolkit or as otherwise approved by the director of the Department and the director of the Oregon Department of Transportation. (2) Local governments conducting land use and transportation scenario planning to meet the greenhouse gas emission reduction targets established in this division may use methods recommended by the Oregon Department of Transportation, Oregon Department of Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -10- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-14 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 Environmental Quality and the Oregon Department of Energy to account for additional greenhouse gas emissions resulting from increased traffic congestion or reductions in emissions resulting from measures that reduce traffic congestion in estimating greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicles. 660-044-0035 Review and evaluation of greenhouse gas reduction targets (1) The Commission shall by June 1, 2015, and at four year intervals thereafter, conduct a review of the greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in OAR 660-044-0020 and OAR 660-044-0025. (2) The review by the Commission shall evaluate whether revisions to the targets established in this division are warranted considering the following factors: (a) Results of land use and transportation scenario planning conducted within metropolitan planning areas to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicles; (b) New or revised federal and state laws or programs established to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicles; (c) State plans or policies establishing or allocating greenhouse gas emission reduction goals to specific sectors or subsectors; (d) Policies and recommendations in the Statewide Transportation Strategy adopted by the Oregon Transportation Commission; (e) Additional studies or analysis conducted by the Oregon Department of Transportation, the Department of Environmental Quality, the Oregon Department of Energy or other agencies regarding greenhouse gas emissions from light vehicle travel in metropolitan areas, including but not limited to changes to vehicle technologies, fuels, and the vehicle fleet; (f) Changes in population growth rates, metropolitan planning area boundaries, land use or development patterns in metropolitan planning areas that affect light vehicle travel in metropolitan areas; (g) Efforts by local governments in metropolitan areas to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from all sources; (h) Input from affected local governments and metropolitan planning organizations; and (i) Land use feasibility and economic studies regarding land use densities. (3) The Department shall, in consultation and collaboration with affected local governments, metropolitan planning organizations, and other state agencies, prepare a report addressing Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -11- April 1, 2011 Attachment 5-15 DRAFT—PROPOSED RULES Metropolitan GHG Reduction Targets -12- April 1, 2011 1 2 factors listed in subsection (2) of this rule to aid the Commission in determining whether revisions to targets established in this division are warranted. Attachment 5-16 Agenda Item 4 – Attachment 2 April 21-22, 2011 LCDC Meeting Target Rulemaking Advisory Committee  Recommendations on  Greenhouse Gas Reduction Targets    Target Recommendations to LCDC per House Bill 2001 and Senate Bill 1059  DLCD April 2011 Attachment 5-17